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Polymarket is preparing for a very different future after securing a key greenlight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
This decision allows the prediction platform – long rooted in on-chain, user-direct interactions – to evolve into a marketplace that can eventually be reached through traditional brokers and futures commission merchants. In other words, Polymarket is being positioned to connect directly with U.S. financial plumbing for the first time.
The company now has to retrofit the exchange for this next stage. Before intermediated access opens, Polymarket must finalize new operating rules, implement supervised trading procedures, and finish building out workflows for custody, clearing, and reporting. Much of that groundwork is already underway: the platform recently added expanded surveillance tools, formal compliance oversight, and the reporting infrastructure required under CFTC regulations.
CEO Shayne Coplan called the approval a milestone not just for the company, but for event-driven markets more broadly, arguing that prediction markets serve their highest purpose when people seek clarity in uncertain moments.
The ruling also hints at a shift in how U.S. regulators view the space. Event-based trading has existed in a regulatory gray area for years; granting Polymarket full compliance obligations under the Commodity Exchange Act suggests growing institutional interest in markets tied to political outcomes, global events, and macroeconomic indicators.
Polymarket – currently the largest prediction venue in the world – has processed billions in trades this year alone, with prices reflecting the crowd’s real-time expectations across everything from geopolitics to entertainment.