Veteran analyst Brandt states that the probability of further declines in Bitcoin is higher and that it is possible for $BTC to retest the $58,000 level.
However, Brandt says he hasn’t made a definitive prediction for the decline, that he hasn’t bet on $BTC yet, but if he had, he would have predicted a decline.
In the chart that Brandt shared on X, one of the most important levels he highlighted was the $58,000 region. This is because the analyst had previously pointed out the possibility of Bitcoin falling to the $58,000-$62,000 range in his earlier analyses.
Brandt stated that $BTC could retest this region if the technical outlook deteriorates, and he believes that selling pressure could increase, leading to a retest of $58,000, especially if the current chart breaks downwards.
Brandt had previously stated in his analysis that a decline could occur following the head-and-shoulders pattern that formed between April and June, and that $BTC could fall to around $58,000.
Bitcoin Reaches Critical Threshold: $57,600!
Brandt stated that the bearish bet for $BTC is more likely, while on-chain analyst Axel Adler also noted that there is no complete capitulation in $BTC.
Analyzing Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score, the analyst noted that the MVRV Z-Score has fallen significantly below its long-term average of 1.69, to between 0.40 and 0.41.
While Bitcoin’s value has fallen well below its historical average, the market has not entered a classic capitulation and bottoming out phase.
At this point, the analyst identified $57,600 as a key threshold where the market structure could deteriorate further. Adler considers the adjusted price of $BTC at $57,600 a critical threshold for downward movement, stating that a drop below this level could further weaken the market structure and increase selling pressure.
On the positive side, the analyst pointed to $72,000 as a potential target for the rise. The analyst argues that a sustainable recovery above $72,000 for $BTC and a return to the average MVRV Z-Score of 1.69 could be a significant signal that a recovery has begun.
*This is not investment advice.