Do Not Be Surprised by $100,000 Bitcoin in January, Bollinger Bands Signal

On the last trading day of 2025, Bitcoin did something that might seem boring at first but is actually a big deal: it closed the week with a gain, even though it is still far below its weekly average.

The $BTC/USDT weekly candle by TradingView closed at $87,952, representing a 1.03% uptick for the year. In the headlines, that is not a big deal. In terms of pricing, it is a market that stopped bleeding, got rid of some fear and now has a big, visible target above it on the same indicator that most traders keep on screen.

That target is the 20-week Bollinger midline at 103,397.02. With a price of $88,861, the gap to the midline is 16.35%, and $100,000 per $BTC sits right inside that distance. That is why the level starts looking like a normal January reclaim if risk appetite returns and spot bids show up.

Road to $100,000 $BTC

The bands also show where the ceiling and traps are. The upper band is $127,401, so even if it dips back toward the average, there is still plenty of room before the market gets stretched this time around. The lower band is $79,392, and it lines up as the obvious place the chart will point to if the late December base fails.

If Bitcoin can hold above the $86,806 weekly low and keep printing closes near $90,406, we will start to see the conversation turn from defense to real recovery. It will be helped by $95,000 and $100,000 acting like waypoints on the path to $103,397.

The whole plot changes as to whether buyers will defend the high $70,000s before the next leg is priced in after losing $86,806.