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Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time crypto trader and investor, offers a pragmatic perspective on Bitcoin’s recent price fluctuations. Despite market euphoria and apprehension, Daan Crypto emphasizes the importance of patience in navigating the volatile landscape. Bitcoin’s current price of $62,371.65, along with a 24-hour trading volume of $25.19 billion, depicts a market mood marked by unpredictable highs and lows.
> Prices Bounce 15% from their lows on average.
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) May 8, 2024
> People euphoric, all time highs next.
> Prices come down 5% on average.
> Ok this is it, cycle might really be done again.
Somehow the expectation of the average market participant is that we're either going to move up or down… pic.twitter.com/gEBIXCozIZ
Moreover, while the average participant anticipates linear movements, historical data suggests otherwise. Bitcoin’s price trajectory is marked by oscillations, with a 15% bounce from lows followed by a 5% downturn. Daan underscores the necessity of patience amidst this volatility, urging investors to acknowledge the gradual formation of higher lows or reversals.
Amidst the current market dynamics, Bitcoin exhibits resilience beyond typical cycle patterns. Despite a 1.85% decline in the last 24 hours, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 43.63 hints at a potential short-term price increase. Additionally, a bullish trend indicated by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at 46 underscores the possibility of continued price appreciation.
Source: TradingView
Subsequently, external factors such as the political landscape also influence Bitcoin’s trajectory. Speculation surrounding a potential second Trump administration presents both opportunities and challenges for the cryptocurrency market. Analysts posit that Trump’s reelection could foster a supportive regulatory environment, positively impacting Bitcoin’s hedge against de-dollarization and declining confidence in the U.S. Treasury market.
.@StanChart says a Trump election win could be positive for crypto markets as his administration would likely push for a more supportive regulatory environment.https://t.co/BhWauonrAK
— CoinDesk (@CoinDesk) May 8, 2024
Moreover, a Trump victory may accelerate the withdrawal of foreign buyers from the U.S. Treasury market due to fiscal concerns. This could lead to a steeper nominal 2-year/10-year curve and an increase in term premium, consequently bolstering Bitcoin’s price. Notably, under Trump’s first term, average annual net selling of U.S. government debt amounted to $207 billion, compared to $55 billion under Biden’s presidency.
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