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Midnight could be eyeing further recovery higher, as it holds above both a crucial support level and lower-timeframe moving averages, but there is a catch.
At the time of writing, Midnight ($NIGHT) trades at $0.0367, up 3% in the past 24 hours. However, this figure does not fully capture how poorly the Cardano-native token has trended.
In the past seven, for instance, $NIGHT has dropped nearly 10%, despite a broader market recovery in the past week. This has extended its 30-day decline to 25%, with year-to-date performance at -59%. However, there could be a glimmer of hope for the privacy-niched token.
Midnight Price Analysis
On the 1-hour chart, $NIGHT has held nicely above the 50-period simple moving average. It reclaimed this decisive indicator yesterday, reaching an intra-day high of $0.0372. Notably, this price level aligned with the 100-period MA, which proved too strong to flip, forcing a pullback.
On Friday, $NIGHT retested the 50 MA support and has held it at press time. Doing so keeps the prospects of a recovery alive.
Currently, the 50 and 100 MAs are closely tied at $0.03603 and $0.03671, keeping the token compressed between supply and demand. Breaking above the latter clears the path for higher prices, with the next area of interest being the 200-period moving average at $0.3848.
Technical Analysis
TradingView’s technicals on the Midnight 1-hour timeframe have a neutral summary. While buy signals total 9, several other indicators remain indecisive, bringing the neutral signal to 9 as well.
Moving averages are where a majority of the buy signals are coming from. This comes as $NIGHT has broken above key MAs, including the 20, 30, and 50 simple and exponential moving averages. This is a positive sign for $NIGHT, as these indicators provide momentum for further bullish developments.
However, the oscillators provided 8 neutral signals, diluting the bullish outlook from MAs. RSI remains neutral at 52.6, and the Stochastic RSI Fast oscillator also trades around the neutral threshold at 36.6. Six other oscillators are neutral, with the Bull Bear Power the only indicator with a buy signal.
Taken together, the technical analysis suggests that the next directional move for $NIGHT remains unclear, with neither bulls nor bears showing total market dominance. However, the growing number of buy signals is a good sign for $NIGHT.
Midnight Market Participation Remains Low
For context, trading volume has dropped sharply from levels seen in its early days, indicating a slowdown in market interest. In the past 24 hours, volume has increased by only 3% to $25.91 million, closely tracking the price.
Derivative interest also slows disinterest. Open interest has dropped 3.7% in the past 24 hours to $42.88 million, continuing its steady decline since the high of $57.65 million on April 1. Futures flow also shows that traders are closing more derivative contracts than they are opening, with inflows of $8.52 million and outflows of $9.18 million.
Exchange spot inflows have also increased, adding to the skepticism around Midnight. Until this changes, the token might struggle to sustain a trend higher.