Bitcoin has forayed above $72,000 twice this month, each time followed by a selloff that sent prices to between $67,000 and $65,000.
Traders are opening short positions in this region, resulting in a disproportionate increase in open interest.
Portions of the altcoin market are outperforming bitcoin, with decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens LDO and ETHFI rising by between 2.5% and 3.5% since midnight.
Derivatives positioning
- Industry-wide crypto futures open interest (OI) rose to a one-week high of $112 billion.
- The top 10 tokens, including $BTC and $ETH, all registered increases of 4% or more in futures open interest in the past 24 hours.
- Ether OI jumped to 14.55 million $ETH, the most since Aug. 24. This, coupled with positive funding rates and cumulative volume delta, point to growing demand for bullish bets or longs.
- DOGE and $ZEC are other standout tokens with OI increases of over 10% in 24 hours.
- Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, dropped for a third straight day, nearing the weekly low of 53% to indicate a fading geopolitical risk premium. Ether's volatility is declining, too.
- On Deribit, $BTC and $ETH put skews continue to weaken, although overall pricing still shows downside concerns across all tenors.
- Friday's multibillion dollar expiry points to $75,000 as the potential magnet. The max pain theory suggests a potential bounce toward that level.
Token talk
- The CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS) is the best-performing benchmark on Wednesday, rising by 1.9%. The bitcoin-heavy CoinDesk 20 (CD20) gained 0.9% over the same period.
- The CPUS Index is made up of AI tokens $TAO and $FET as well as chainlink $LINK$9.3671, which makes up 62% of the index weighting.
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$LINK is up by 1.5% while $TAO and $FET have increased by 4.9% and 2.9%, respectively.
- CoinMarketCap's "Altcoin Season" indicator remains at 48/100, in bullish territory after spending much of February languishing at around 22/100.
- On the flip side, privacy coins XMR and $ZEC fell, losing around 1% each as traders rotated between altcoin sectors to position themselves ahead of a potential breakout.