“Without new support from Powell, crypto is once again leaning on technicals,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, in an email. “Bitcoin’s repeated failure to hold above $113,000 shows waning momentum. The market continues to trace lower highs, but the $3.5 trillion total market capitalization zone has repeatedly attracted dip-buyers.”
“Perhaps the start of a new month will give buyers a boost. However, the aura of a historically positive month, so-called Uptober, lasted only for the first few days, followed by an impressive decline,” Kuptsikevich added.
Meanwhile, long-term holders increase sales in response to strength, as Glassnode data shows. Bitcoin selling by long-term investors has tripled since June, as buyers who entered near $93,000 take profits. Still, spot trading volume topped $300 billion in October, the highest in a year, signaling strong two-way liquidity.
The gold pullback
Elsewhere, gold steadied around $4,000 per ounce on Monday after an early slide triggered by China’s move to end tax rebates for certain gold retailers — a policy shift that could dent demand in one of the world’s largest bullion markets.
The decision, announced over the weekend, removes value-added tax offsets for retailers selling gold purchased from the Shanghai Gold and Futures exchanges.
The timing is crucial as gold’s record-breaking rally in October, driven by retail frenzy and central bank accumulation, had begun to fade even before Beijing’s announcement.
Despite the pullback, prices remain more than 50% higher year-to-date, suggestive of how haven demand has remained strong through this year’s waves of macro and geopolitical tension.
As such, the correlation between bitcoin and gold — once viewed as competing hedges — has strengthened in recent months, with both assets responding to shifts in monetary policy and geopolitical stress.
The Fed’s decision to pause tightening and the growing prospect of cheaper capital could eventually revive demand for risk assets, but for now, traders appear to be juggling safety and speculation.