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Gemini strikes Apex deal to widen prediction markets reach

source-logo  coindesk.com 20 m
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Gemini (GEMI), the cryptocurrency platform founded by the billionaire Winklevoss twins, is teaming up with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand distribution of its regulated crypto prediction markets to brokerage firms, the companies said in a Monday announcement.

Under a letter of intent, subsidiary Gemini Titan would become the exclusive regulated venue for crypto event contracts distributed through Apex’s futures commission merchant (FCM) to its brokerage customers.

An FCM is a regulated firm that handles customer orders and funds for trading futures and other derivatives.

Gemini would handle execution and clearing, allowing brokerages using Apex to offer crypto-based event contracts without having to build their own connections to a prediction-market exchange.

Prediction markets have exploded in popularity over the past year, with monthly trading volume on leading platforms Kalshi and Polymarket reaching nearly $24 billion by April, up from less than $5 billion in September 2025, according to Pew Research Center. Sports, politics and cryptocurrency have emerged as the biggest categories as event contracts move further into mainstream trading.

The arrangement could significantly broaden Gemini’s distribution as crypto companies compete for a share of the rapidly growing prediction-market business. Platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket have helped turn event contracts, which allow users to wager on the outcome of real-world events, into one of the fastest-growing corners of trading.

Crypto firms have increasingly turned to prediction markets and other new products to diversify revenue as weaker trading volumes have squeezed income from their traditional spot businesses.

Gemini has been building out the regulatory infrastructure needed to compete in U.S. prediction markets. Gemini Titan received a Designated Contract Market license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in December 2025, allowing it to operate a regulated derivatives exchange and offer prediction trading.

In April, another subsidiary, Gemini Olympus, secured a Derivatives Clearing Organization license from the CFTC, allowing Gemini to bring clearing and settlement for Gemini Titan in-house.

“We believe that predictions are the future of markets,” Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss said in the release.

The agreement deepens an existing relationship between the two firms. Gemini launched commission-free stock trading for certain U.S. customers in July, with Apex Clearing Corporation acting as the custodian and clearing broker.

The companies said they expect to finalize details of the prediction-market collaboration in the coming weeks.

coindesk.com