- Fraser said a purely partisan committee vote likely would have increased Democratic leverage to demand more concessions before a floor vote.
- Industry advocates now expect lawmakers to focus on preserving compromises already reached on issues including staking rewards, tokenization and developer protections.
- Fraser said banks and traditional financial firms are expected to intensify lobbying efforts ahead of the floor vote to push for additional changes.
The complication: Key issues remain unresolved before the legislation can secure enough Democratic support in the full Senate.
- Ethics provisions are still the biggest outstanding issue, according to Fraser.
- Gallego and Alsobrooks both indicated their committee votes do not guarantee support on the Senate floor without additional ethics language.
- Developer protections also remain a major point of negotiation as lawmakers work to attract more Democratic votes.
Reading between the lines: Crypto advocates believe they could secure broader Democratic support than many expected.
- Fraser said the bill will likely need at least seven Democratic votes to clear the Senate floor.
- She pointed to last year’s Congressional Review Act vote overturning the IRS DeFi broker rule, which attracted support from 19 Democrats despite expectations that only a handful would back it.
- Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand has been working with Democrats off committee to educate lawmakers on the legislation and broader crypto policy issues, Fraser said.
What comes next: Senate negotiators now need to merge Banking Committee and Agriculture Committee versions of the legislation before a final floor vote.
- The Agriculture Committee advanced its own version earlier this year on partisan lines, and negotiators are still working through differences between the two drafts.
- Unlike the House, where the Agriculture and Financial Services committees worked from a single proposal, the Senate developed separate versions that now must be combined.
- Fraser said the combined package could reach the Senate floor within about a month.
- President Donald Trump has repeatedly said he wants crypto market structure legislation on his desk by July 4, a timeline Fraser said remains achievable.