Tether, launched in 2014 as Realcoin, won the Chinese export trade, O'Neill said, and built this shadow economy of dollars that people can use without the U.S. financial system. Circle, launched in association with Coinbase in 2018, sought to do the exact opposite: a U.S.-regulated stablecoin, which later leaned hard into decentralized finance (DeFi).
For O'Neill, the perspective of a large payments firm, such as Bridge-owner Stripe, illustrates the shortcomings of the two dollar-pegged token giants.
“As a payments company, I need certainty on how things are going to work,” he said. “So with Tether, they say we'll burn for 10 bips, which is crazy expensive for a payments company, or you can trade on the open market, which means I have no certainty.”
“For Circle, their whole business is AUM, and they keep kind of notching up those burn fees. So again, if I'm someone like Visa, and I want to do trillions of dollars of card settlement and stablecoins, I'm burning a bunch of $USDC, and that's gonna be a net bad,” O'Neill said.
The solution, “which needs to come pretty quickly over the next couple of years,” is more stablecoins built for specific use cases, so they can be optimized for those use cases. The other part is the rise of the clearing house, “a sexy topic for founders and VCs” to make it “as efficient as possible swapping between stablecoins,” he added.
Closing out his argument, O'Neill said, “You need more competition, otherwise [Tether and Circle] are going to just keep upping the fees. They're not gonna share the yield. They're gonna disincentivize you from burning it. They're gonna make it harder and harder to make it feel like money at each turn.”