The debate around stablecoin yield has been underway for months, and with no resolution in sight for the near to medium term the recent report published by the Council of Economic Advisors added some much needed data to this conversation. A consortium of various banking lobbyists has been leading the lobbying and policy efforts to include a ban on stablecoin yield as the CLARITY Act continues to languish in Congress. Specifically, research published by the Independent Community Bankers of America warning that small banks risk losing $1.3 trillion in deposits and $850 billion in loans if legislation enabling yield on stablecoins is passed.
Contrasting this forecast, the Council of Economic Advisors report that, according to the modeling, banning stablecoin rewards would only boost bank lending by $2.1 billion at a net cost of $800 million, resulting in an increase of only 0.02%. Community banks, often put forward as the institutions that would suffer the most from an increase in pro-stablecoin reward environment, would only benefit from a complete ban on stablecoin rewards to the tune of $500 million, a 0.026% increase. Additionally, the CEA’s most aggressive modeling, with the stablecoin marketplace growing six-fold, the modeling showed that community banks would only see a 6.7% increase in lending.
Clearly the positions and debates around stablecoin rewards and yields are not going anyway anytime soon, so let’s take a look at a few items investors and policy advocates need to keep in mind as these debates (hopefully) become more data driven.
forbes.com