CryptoQuant’s order size analysis shows that after whales gathered $ETH between $2,005 and $2,100 in early April, their buying range shifted to $2,250–$2,300 by month-end. Notably, one trade on May 2 saw 556 $ETH bought in a single move at $2,316. Analysts interpret this as a sign that whales are likely accumulating as the market climbs.
Positive shift in ETF inflows
Institutional investors renewed their interest in Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on May 1, following four consecutive days of outflows. The latest report from Farside Investors indicates a net inflow of $101.2 million into spot Ethereum ETFs. Most of this capital entered BlackRock’s ETHA product and Fidelity’s FETH fund, with inflows of $43.2 million and $49.4 million, respectively.
Other ETF providers saw smaller, mixed flows, highlighting a return of large funds to Ethereum after a brief period of negative sentiment.
Price range, resistance, and the $ETH/$BTC ratio
Order book data shows heavy sell-side liquidity in the $2,350 to $2,500 range, marking $2,400 as a strong resistance level for Ethereum. Market analyst Ted Pillows suggests $ETH will continue to move sideways unless it secures a sustained close above $2,400.
The $ETH/$BTC ratio is hovering around 0.0294. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe notes, “If the ratio clearly surpasses 0.032 $BTC, that’s when the real move begins.”
For investors, the $ETH/$BTC ratio remains a key metric. While accumulation in dollar terms is rising, many warn that unless the ratio improves, Ethereum could continue to lag behind Bitcoin in performance.
Market constraints and leverage risk
The total open interest in the market is close to $30 billion. Over the last 24 hours, derivatives trading volume reached $18 billion, while spot trading remained under $1 billion, indicating that the use of leverage is growing faster than actual market demand.
Any price movement above $2,412 or below $2,206 could trigger mass liquidations, potentially leading to sharp price swings. At present, the primary driver in price action appears to be the overall distribution of positions rather than straightforward buy-and-sell activity.