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After its sharp decline in October and November, Ethereum has stabilized, finally, and the chart’s structure is starting to resemble the early phases of a trend reversal rather than a straightforward relief bounce. With increasing momentum, the price is moving toward the 20-day moving average after regaining the $3,100 mark.
Breaking down whales' positions
The whale positioning occurring off the chart, however, is the most remarkable development. Unanimously, some of the ecosystem’s most intelligent, well-behaved whales are long on ETH and getting bigger. BitcoinOG, a trader with $105 million in total PNL, is holding 54,277 ETH, or about $169.48 million. "Anti-CZ" whale is long 62,156 ETH, a position worth roughly $194 million, and has $58.8 million in total PNL. Another steadily profitable entity with $16.3 million in PNL, pension-usdt.eth, has taken a long for 20,000 ETH, or about $62.5 million.
According to the short-term structure, ETH is grinding upward from its base of $2,800, forming higher lows and stabilizing above earlier breakdown levels. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages continue to be strong points of resistance, but the decline’s slope is becoming less steep. A run toward $3,800, and eventually the psychological $4,000 barrier, are possible if ETH can break through the $3,350-$3,450 range.
Ethereum's potential target
This is the point at which whale positioning becomes important: significant accumulation at these levels indicates that they may eventually reclaim the $3,500-$4,000 range, which is the threshold required to restart a macro uptrend. The path to $5,000 becomes feasible if the price breaks through — not because of hype but because the market will finally unite behind well-funded, highly accurate players.
As whale conviction permeates broader market behavior, investors should expect increased volatility, stronger upside attempts and a change in sentiment. Although Ethereum has not reached $5,000 yet, the foundation for that run is currently being established.