On-chain analytics company Swissblock announced that Bitcoin (BTC) has emerged from its capitulation phase following recent sharp sell-offs and is beginning to regain upward momentum.
According to the company’s assessment, while signs of recovery are beginning to appear in the market, current data is not yet at a level to confirm a strong and lasting trend reversal.
An analysis shared by Swissblock states that Bitcoin has entered a “transitional phase” again. Analysts note that selling pressure has significantly decreased and upward momentum is beginning to re-emerge, highlighting that the market is at a critical juncture. Accordingly, the current process could signal the beginning of a new uptrend, or it could be a temporary recovery phase before the continuation of a bear market.
A capitulation period is defined as a time when investors engage in heavy selling and a significant portion of market participants close their positions at a loss. While Bitcoin has historically shown strong recoveries following such periods, it cannot be said that every capitulation directly triggers a new bull market. Therefore, analysts emphasize the need to carefully monitor current data.
According to Swissblock, recent price movements and on-chain indicators reveal that the negative market sentiment is weakening. In particular, the improvement in investor behavior and the decrease in selling pressure suggest that Bitcoin is beginning to regain strength. However, the company notes that it is still too early to say whether this outlook has turned into a permanent uptrend.
Experts say that both macroeconomic developments and institutional investor flows will be decisive in determining Bitcoin’s direction in the coming weeks. If upward momentum continues to strengthen and technical indicators support it, the current transition period could lay the foundation for a new bull trend.
However, it is assessed that if momentum weakens, Bitcoin may face renewed selling pressure and the bear market may continue. Therefore, investors are advised to follow on-chain data and market dynamics together, rather than just short-term price movements.
*This is not investment advice.