Why the Rally Hit a Wall
Once Bitcoin reached $64,600, it stopped. Several things lined up at that price to slow it down.
It hit a zone where a lot of previous trading activity had already taken place, meaning there were plenty of sellers waiting there. Multiple momentum indicators on the four-hour chart were also flashing warning signs, showing that buying pressure was actually weakening even as the price was still climbing. When price goes up but the strength behind the move is fading, it often means the rally is running out of fuel.
The daily chart also showed the same warning signals, with the market sitting in territory typically associated with short-term tops.
Two Price Levels to Watch
Around $61,000 is the first zone traders are watching. There is a significant cluster of buy orders and stop losses sitting just below the recent low in this area. Price has a tendency to gravitate toward spots where a lot of orders are stacked up.
Around $60,000 is the bigger support level below that. If $61,000 does not hold, this is where the next serious floor sits based on how the market has behaved at this price historically.
When Does the Story Change
If Bitcoin closes clearly above $64,650, the bearish setup gets cancelled. The next meaningful target after that would be around $65,600, and beyond that $67,000 comes into view.
Until that happens, the lower probability scenario is another push higher. The higher probability scenario is one more dip before any real upside begins.