According to Binance Research, four on-chain indicators suggest that selling pressure on Bitcoin is weakening.
The Binance Research team analyzed four on-chain indicators that suggest selling pressure on Bitcoin is weakening. The company pointed to several factors:
“1) Over 60% of the addresses have held $BTC for more than a year: This indicates a decrease in circulating volume in the market as the long-term holding trend strengthens.”
2) Long-term investors dominate the market.
3) The supply of $BTC on exchanges is decreasing: Even during the COVID-19 pandemic, the percentage of Bitcoin held by exchanges was approximately 17.6%, but this has now fallen to 15.0%. Based on this, it is estimated that approximately 500,000 $BTC have left exchanges. The market generally interprets the decrease in the percentage of assets on exchanges as a signal that short-term selling pressure is decreasing.
4) Short-term investors have exited their unprofitable positions and have unrealized profits: At this point, the STH MVRV indicator, which shows the profitability of short-term investors, has also recently risen above 1.0. The indicator remained below 1 for a significant period since last November. This means that current investors have re-entered the unrealized profit zone.
The Binance Research team concluded that these indicators suggest a low probability of a new wave of selling pressure and that the current market phase exhibits a typical pattern often seen before a sustained recovery.
*This is not investment advice.