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- Historical Behavior: Bitcoin has recorded six consecutive monthly red candles since October 2025, a technical pattern previously seen only between 2018 and 2019.
- Institutional Accumulation: Despite a 45% drop from highs of $126,000, companies like MicroStrategy have taken the opportunity to accumulate over 122,000 BTC during this period.
- Price Projection: Analysis suggests that if the 2019 fractality repeats, Bitcoin’s price could target between $180,000 and $250,000 in the coming months.
The crypto market has faced high tension in recent hours following confirmation that Bitcoin has posted 6 straight months in the red, a price structure not seen in years. However, several analysts argue that this scenario, far from being the start of a prolonged bear market, represents a necessary capitulation before a new all-time high.
6th Monthly Red Candle Loading 🟥
— Our Crypto Talk (@ourcryptotalk) March 31, 2026
This has happened once before.
Bitcoin moved over 4X after that.
With the ongoing panic, buying makes more sense here and Bitcoin could reach another ATH after this move.
Saylor and Strategy have followed this and you should do it as well.… pic.twitter.com/ZiRQ3T9m8g
Technically speaking, the current pullback took the price from $126,000 to levels below $70,000. Although selling pressure is constant, transaction volume suggests organic absorption by large wallets. Currently, the market is seeking stability after a 45% correction, maintaining a much more solid structure than in previous cycles.
The 2018 Parallel: From Capitulation to a 4x Rally
The only other time the pioneer crypto chained six negative monthly closes was between August 2018 and January 2019. Back then, the price dropped from $7,700 to $3,500, wiping out retail investor interest. However, that base served as a springboard for a rally that quadrupled its value in the following months.
This time, however, there is a strong institutional presence. While individual investor sentiment is at levels of extreme fear, corporate entities continue to increase their reserves. This divergence between sentiment and accumulation is often a leading indicator of an imminent trend reversal.
Experts point out that the current red candles do not show a structure of impulsive panic, but rather a controlled offloading by “weak hands.” If the historical pattern holds, Bitcoin would be much closer to a turning point than most participants perceive today.
Bitcoin’s current behavior reflects a market cleansing cycle similar to that of 2019. With constant absorption by whales and institutions, the six months of losses could be the prelude to a bullish move that takes the price toward the $130,000 mark or even beyond.