The power law reversion
Brandt accompanied his prediction with a long-term monthly chart of Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar, utilizing a "Bitcoin Power Law V2.0" indicator.
The chart provides a high-level view of Bitcoin's market cycles dating back to 2012.
The chart depicts Bitcoin trading within a massive logarithmic growth channel defined by three key zones:
The current price action shows Bitcoin recently attempting to push into this zone near $98,000 before being sharply rejected.
Currently sitting around the $37,000–$62,000 range, this band has historically marked generational buying opportunities.
A central trendline that acts as a "fair value" magnet for the price.
The January rejection
The monthly candle for January 2026 is particularly ominous. The chart data highlights a massive red candle with a high of $97,939 and a low of $75,555. This "wick" at the top indicates heavy selling pressure as Bitcoin failed to sustain momentum near the $100k psychological barrier.
Brandt’s $58,000 target appears to align with a reversion to the mean. On the chart, a pullback to the middle of the channel would bring Bitcoin back down toward the $58k–$60k region.