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Bitcoin is trading at $89,166 per coin at 12 p.m. EST on Jan. 24, 2026, with derivatives markets sending mixed but revealing signals beneath the surface. Futures leverage is easing, options traders remain selectively optimistic, and liquidation data suggests excess positioning is still being worked off.
Bitcoin Derivatives Paint a Tense Picture
Bitcoin futures open interest across all exchanges, according to coinglass.com, stands at roughly 656,880 BTC, representing about $58.64 billion in notional value. While open interest ticked up 0.20% over the past hour, it fell 2.89% over the past 24 hours, signaling a broader deleveraging trend rather than aggressive new positioning.
Among futures exchanges, Binance holds the largest share with approximately 135,340 BTC in open interest, followed closely by CME at 124,740 BTC. CME’s near-19% share continues to reflect institutional participation, while Binance remains the dominant venue for directional retail and proprietary trading activity.
Short-term futures positioning shows uneven adjustments across venues. Bybit and Gate posted notable short-term increases in open interest over the four-hour window, while Binance and CME both recorded modest declines over the same period. The takeaway: traders are repositioning, not rushing back in.
Liquidation data from cryptoquant.com reinforces that message. Bitcoin long liquidations spiked sharply on multiple days throughout mid-January, with several sessions exceeding $300 million and one clearing event topping $500 million. These flushes coincided with price pullbacks, suggesting leveraged longs were caught leaning too hard into local strength.
Short liquidations were comparatively muted but still meaningful, with multiple spikes above $150 million. The imbalance between long and short liquidations confirms that downside volatility has been doing more damage than upside moves—a market still punishing overconfidence.
Order-flow data supports this cautious tone. The bitcoin taker buy-sell ratio sits below neutral at approximately 0.96, indicating sell-side pressure continues to outweigh aggressive buying. Despite brief spikes above parity earlier in the month, recent readings show buyers taking a step back.
Options markets, however, tell a more nuanced story. Total bitcoin options open interest remains elevated, and calls account for roughly 57.7% of outstanding positions, compared with 42.3% for puts. On a 24-hour volume basis, call dominance increases further to over 62%, signaling traders are still positioning for upside—just with defined risk.
Strike concentration shows heavy interest in longer-dated calls above $100,000, particularly on Deribit, alongside defensive puts clustered below $90,000. This structure suggests traders expect volatility to persist, even if near-term price action remains constrained.
Also read: Bitwise Launches Bitcoin-Linked Debasement ETF to Counter Declining Dollar Power
Max pain levels offer additional context. On Deribit, max pain sits near $90,000 for the nearest expiries, while Binance’s max pain skews slightly higher around the low-to-mid $90,000 range. OKX shows a similar gravitational zone near $90,000, reinforcing that options positioning may exert stabilizing pressure near current prices.
Taken together, bitcoin’s derivatives markets reflect a cautious reset rather than outright fear. Futures leverage is cooling, liquidations are clearing excess risk, and options traders remain selectively constructive—betting on volatility, not complacency.
FAQ ❓
- What is bitcoin futures open interest signaling now? Bitcoin futures open interest is declining on a daily basis, indicating leverage is being reduced rather than expanded.
- Why are long liquidations dominating the market?Repeated price pullbacks have punished over-leveraged long positions more than shorts.
- Are options traders bullish or bearish?Options data shows a call-heavy skew, suggesting cautious optimism with defined downside risk.
- What does max pain suggest for bitcoin’s price?Max pain levels cluster near $90,000, potentially acting as a short-term stabilizing zone.