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The prediction markets at Robinhood now present a 14% chance of Bitcoin reaching the $150,000 milestone before June 2026.
While Bitcoin ($BTC) saw five consecutive days of consistent upward push at the start of January, soaring by over 7% within this period, it still failed to recover the pivotal $100,000 psychological price mark. After hitting a two-month peak of $94,792 on Jan. 5, $BTC met intense resistance and has since continued to correct.
Robinhood Gives Bitcoin a 14% Chance of Hitting $150K Before June 2026
Amid this correction, Bitcoin has now relinquished the $90,000 support, down 5.4% from the $94K high. This has dealt a blow to the asset’s $150,000 dream, which market participants began eyeing as the next target shortly after Bitcoin hit the $100,000 milestone for the first time on Dec. 5, 2024.
Now, the prediction markets at Robinhood give the premier crypto asset a 14% chance of reaching a new all-time high at $150,000 before June 2026. Robinhood took to X today to call attention to this new development.
Historical Fluctuations
For context, the current odds represent a massive decline, as optimism around Bitcoin has continued to wane on the back of recent price realities. Specifically, as of Oct. 7, 2025, a day after $BTC claimed its latest all-time high of $126,272, the chances of the firstborn crypto reaching $150,000 before June 2026 stood at 63%.
Notably, from the $126,000 price level, Bitcoin only needed a 19% increase to claim $150,000, bolstering optimism among investors. However, as $BTC entered the downward trend that defined most of Q4 2026, the odds began to drop, as confidence crashed.
By the start of November 2025, the odds stood at 45%. However, as the decline persisted, the chances dropped to 27% at the end of that month, aligning with a further correction in Bitcoin’s price to the $90,000 price level.
While the market began 2026 with a 13% chance, it has continued to fluctuate between 12% and 16% since then, now stabilizing at 14%. Meanwhile, Robinhood gives a 9% chance that Bitcoin could hit $150,000 before May 2026, a 4% chance of claiming the milestone before April 2026, and a 2% chance before February 2026.
Bitcoin to $150K Predictions
Notably, multiple market analysts and institutions have predicted a possible Bitcoin rally to $150,000, providing varying timelines. For instance, in January 2024, “Rich Dad Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki predicted that Bitcoin could soar to $150,000 “soon.” Around the same time, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee projected a possible run to $150,000 in 12 months, but not with certainty.
In March 2024, Standard Chartered raised its Bitcoin price prediction to $150,000. Meanwhile, Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani recently revised his Bitcoin predictions, suggesting that the premier crypto asset could reach $150,000 in 2026. With Bitcoin currently trading for $89,200, the asset would need to rise 68% to claim $150,000.