en.bitcoinsistemi.com
Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency markets points to a new risk signal for Bitcoin. Crypto analyst Ai (@alicharts), in a post on X (formerly Twitter), announced that Bitcoin’s 10-week and 50-week moving averages have crossed again. According to the analyst, this technical formation has signaled strong corrections many times in the past.
Historical data shows that sharp declines in Bitcoin price have followed this moving average intersection. For example, in September 2014, Bitcoin lost approximately 67% of its value after this signal. A similar intersection in June 2018 led to a 54% drop in prices. During the global market crash in March 2020, Bitcoin fell by 53%, while a sharp correction of 64% was recorded in January 2022.
Ai states that if historical patterns repeat themselves, Bitcoin could experience a 50% to 60% pullback. In such a scenario, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could fall to between $38,000 and $50,000. The analyst emphasizes that this prediction is not a definitive forecast, but rather a probability analysis based on past price behavior.
Market experts say this technical signal should be closely monitored, especially by short- and medium-term investors. However, factors such as increased institutional interest, ETFs, and macroeconomic developments could limit the depth of a potential correction. Investors are advised to be cautious about the increased volatility risk and prioritize risk management.
*This is not investment advice.