Key Takeaways
- Standard Chartered has halved its 2025 Bitcoin price forecast to $100,000 due to declining institutional demand.
- Future Bitcoin price movements are expected to be driven primarily by ETF inflows after aggressive corporate buying slows.
Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price outlook, cutting its year-end target to $100,000, which represents half of its previous $200,000 forecast.
The bank has also pushed its long-term $500,000 projection out to 2030, citing weakening demand and slow institutional adoption.
Analysts say the rally driven by aggressive corporate accumulation, including large-scale purchases by Strategy, has largely run its course. As a result, future gains now depend more heavily on ETF inflows, which have dropped to 50,000 $BTC per quarter, the lowest level since US spot Bitcoin ETFs started trading.
Strategy added 10,754 $BTC in the past two weeks, bringing its total holdings to more than 660,600 $BTC.
Other factors contributing to the revision include a pause in Bitcoin’s uptrend, political pressure on the Fed, and uncertainty around future monetary policy, all of which reduce the near-term catalysts for price growth.
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