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Robert Kiyosaki issues a bold warning about the Bitcoin August Curse.
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History shows August hasn’t been kind to Bitcoin traders.
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Key Econmic events this month could decide if $BTC holds or crashes.
Bitcoin is trading around $114,000 today, posting minor gains as the broader crypto market steadies. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has slipped to 52, signaling neutral sentiment after last week’s volatility.
However, bestselling author Robert Kiyosaki has reignited fears of the so-called “Bitcoin August Curse.” In a recent X post, he said he wouldn’t mind if Bitcoin fell below $90K this month, as it would give him the chance to double his $BTC position.
“If the Bitcoin August Curse hits and Bitcoin crashes, I stand ready to 2x my position today.” – Robert Kiyosaki
Kiyosaki believes the real problem isn’t Bitcoin but America’s multi-trillion-dollar debt and policy failures by the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, which he says will ultimately make long-term $BTC investors richer.
How Was August For Bitcoin? Historical Analysis
August and September are historically the worst months for $BTC.
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) August 1, 2025
In eight of the past 12 years, $BTC prices have fallen in August and September, with a 67% probability of decline.https://t.co/W6YUaa7WQr pic.twitter.com/Z5GA7tEwRw
Bitcoin’s historical performance in August has been far from favorable. Over the past 12 years, the month has ended in losses eight times, with an average return of just +1.48%.
The median return is even more discouraging at -7.49%, highlighting August’s tendency toward weakness. This track record has many traders questioning whether August 2025 will continue the trend or deliver a surprise breakout.
This history has traders wondering whether August 2025 will follow the trend or break from it.
Key Economic Events Could Fuel the $BTC Price Drop
Several U.S. economic releases this week could decide Bitcoin’s short-term fate:
- Jobless Claims: Forecast 220K–221K — higher numbers could signal labor weakness.
- ISM Services PMI: Expected 51.1% — stronger readings may delay Fed rate cuts.
- Labor Costs & Productivity Data: Could shift inflation expectations.
- Fed Comments: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic hinted at only one rate cut this year, potentially capping bullish momentum.
10x Research Sees a ‘Hidden Catalyst’
10x Research notes that Bitcoin’s drop below $112K aligns with August seasonality and softer U.S. labor data. They highlight parallels to last year, when similar weakness led to a surprise Fed rate cut and a strong year-end rally. The firm suggests a hidden macro trigger could spark Bitcoin’s next major move.
Despite caution in the market, many traders are eyeing a “buy the dip” opportunity, believing a drop below $90K could flush out weak hands and set the stage for a stronger Bitcoin rally into year-end.
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