$BTC volume has already seen a steady decline typical of holidays. Lower trading volume tends to weaken price movements in either direction. However, we have to work with what we have at hand — so here’s our Bitcoin price prediction for Easter 2025.
Bitcoin forecast for Easter 2025
The local level of resistance on the weekly Bitcoin chart stands at $85,500, while price has found local support at $83,000. Accordingly, it would take a 1.16% move to the upside to test resistance, and a 1.84% move to the downside to test support.
As of the time of writing, $BTC’s relative strength index (RSI) stood at 50.29 — an almost perfect midpoint between oversold conditions seen at levels below 30, and overbought conditions seen at levels above 70.
Moreover, plotting a line across the lower highs seen on April 17 and 18, as well as the lower lows, reveals what appears to be a falling wedge pattern. This is a bullish chart pattern — but with volume having cooled off, its legitimacy is up for debate. If it is legitimate, however, then we will likely see a retesting of resistance by Easter 2025.

Currently, Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average (MA) stands at $87,039, while the 200-day MA is at $80,358, which supports a bullish outlook. A successful retest of resistance, followed by a move above the 50-day MA would further bolster the bull case.
Renowned technical analyst Rudo Viljoen has highlighted the fact that no major stopgaps exist between $83,000 and $71,000 — and that a fall below local support could lead to Bitcoin crashing 16% by Easter 2025.
If #bitcoin falls below 83k, the probability is that we could see 71k this Easter weekend… https://t.co/IxslPEOo10 pic.twitter.com/wNyTzuiSpV
— RudoViljoen (@TheChartArtist) April 17, 2025
With that being said, a true, meaningful break below $83,000 remains unlikely, especially with weakened volume, outside of a bearish catalyst in the form of a negative geopolitical or macro development.
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