The chart shows both gold and $BTC forming a macro-bottom around early 2023, followed by a rejection at the range top in early 2024. Gold eventually broke out in the following months, while $BTC lagged slightly, breaking out around November 2024.
According to Cryptollica, $BTC now appears to be breaking out of a consolidatory wedge pattern, with a potential mid-term target as high as $155,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s $ATH stands at $108,786, recorded earlier this year in January.
$BTC is also likely to benefit from several favorable macroeconomic trends. For example, the global M2 money supply is expected to increase in 2025, a development that typically supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
$BTC Maturing As A Safe Haven Asset
Beyond technical chart patterns, $BTC has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating global tariff-induced uncertainty. According to the latest The Week On-Chain report, both gold and $BTC have performed well during the ongoing tariff war. The report notes:
Amidst this turmoil, the performance of hard assets remains remarkably impressive. Gold continues to surge higher, having reached a new $ATH of $3,300, as investors flee to the traditional safe haven asset. Bitcoin sold off to $75k initially alongside risk assets, but has since recovered the week’s gains, trading back up to $85k, now flat since this burst of volatility.
The report also mentions that $BTC recently experienced its largest price correction of the 2023–25 cycle, a -33% drawdown from its $ATH earlier this year. However, this correction remains relatively modest compared to those seen in previous market cycles.
The following chart illustrates $BTC bull market correction drawdowns since 2011. As shown, the recent -33% correction is the shallowest among past cycles, with the deepest being -72% during the 2012–14 bull market.

While $BTC continues to show signs of maturing as a reliable asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty, institutional investors appear to be taking profits. This is evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). At press time, $BTC is trading at $84,694, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X, Glassnode, and Tradingview.com