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Thanksgiving Bitcoin Surge: Coinbase Premium Gap Leads Rally

source-logo  thecoinrepublic.com 03 December 2024 14:22, UTC

In the Thanksgiving weekend, Bitcoin enjoyed strong momentum while maintaining a positive Coinbase Premium Gap and indicating that demand on Coinbase remains intact.

The appeal of the cryptocurrency to investors is underlined by its superior performance on risk-adjusted metrics: Sortino and Sharpe ratios.

On the other hand, demand from new participants balances sell pressure and keeps the market from further decline.

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Coinbase Premium Gap Signals Strong Bitcoin Buying Activity

Over the Thanksgiving weekend, Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Gap remained in positive territory as demand for Bitcoin on Coinbase increased.

This metric measures the price of Bitcoin on Coinbase against other exchanges and is a measure of localized pressure to buy.

A positive premium usually implies that Coinbase attracts interest among institutional or high-net-worth investors, and the former especially takes advantage of this platform.

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During the weekend, significant spikes in the premium gap saw correlated spikes with trading volume.

BTC Coinbase Premium Gap | Source: CryptoQuant

The market response to this activity includes concentrated buying efforts and has likely caused Bitcoin’s price to rise in what is otherwise a quiet period.

This premium is lacking in the consistency that we would usually expect to see, especially over a holiday weekend, and suggests strong underlying demand.

In history, Bitcoin had bullish trends like sustained positive premiums. The opposite applies; negative premiums mean that the pricing is being pushed further into a selling pressure or arbitrage opportunity.

The robust market confidence and directional potential for upward momentum were confirmed by the resilience of the premium gap heading into Thanksgiving.

Bitcoin Offers Superior Risk-Adjusted Returns

The Sortino and Sharpe ratios indicate Bitcoin outperformed traditional markets in risk-adjusted returns. Bitcoin outperforms the risks as demonstrated in the Sortino ratio, focusing on downside risk.

Moreover, the Sharpe ratio scores Bitcoin with reference to other asset classes in terms of its overall risk-adjusted performance.

Bitcoin Sortino & Sharpe ratio | Source: IntoTheBlock

These metrics are used to do visual comparisons on Bitcoin vs traditional financial instruments, and Bitcoin consistently comes out on top.

Other assets have a hard time finding the right balance between risk and reward, while Bitcoin has continuously delivered very favorable risk-reward profiles.

Consequently, this performance highlights the attractiveness of such an investment for investors seeking diversity combined with optimal return.

Bitcoin’s growing legitimacy as an investment asset is reflected in its dominance of risk-adjusted returns. With macroeconomic uncertainties plaguing traditional markets, Bitcoin’s ability to do even better lends credence to its case.

New Demand Absorbs Sell-Side Pressure

Bitcoin’s market remains resilient with a Sell-Side Risk Ratio despite heavy inflow from new market participants.

Sell-side risk ratio, a metric indicating the likelihood of selling pressure from long-term holders, was also elevated but did not press on price.

Instead, new buyer inflation met and absorbed this pressure on a steady basis, keeping the market stable.

The Sell-side risk ratio fluctuates, demonstrating higher activity, which often synchronizes with increased selling pressure.

BTC sell-side ratio | Source: CryptoQuant

However, these risks have continuously been opposed by persistent buyer interest, especially from new money. Both new and existing market entrants are also gaining confidence in Bitcoin, and this dynamic reflects the continuing trend.

It’s a different structure in the current market than it was in past high-risk periods when selling pressure caused sharp declines.

Instead, optimism surrounding Bitcoin’s coming value points to robust demand from new participants that damps out potential price swings, keeping those swings muted. This trend shows how resilient the cryptocurrency market can be even in tough times.

Bitcoin Price Performance and Analysis

The current price of Bitcoin is $96,701.60 at this time of writing, which displays a rise of over the last 24 hours, changing hands at 0.51%, enhanced by a trading volume of $56.79 billion.

The continued price movement above $91,000 is additional verification that the momentum remains broadly bullish.

This stability has been due, in part, to recent demand, which kept prices’ trading range pretty narrow near key levels.

The immediate hurdle for Bitcoin remains key resistance at $97,500. However, a break above this level could spark an extension higher still toward testing $100,000, which is a psychological and technical milestone.

However, on the downside, a support area at $91,000 would be required to prevent additional downside.

thecoinrepublic.com