Read more: Bitcoin’s block reward slashed by 50% following 2024 halving
Despite historical precedent of bitcoin reaching new highs in the months following a halving, analysts warn this time could be different. JPMorgan researchers — along with most teams across the crypto industry — say the halving is already priced in.
In the months following bitcoin’s last halving in 2020, the crypto notched its former all-time high of $69,000. Similarly, in 2016, it hit $20,000.
Read more: The history of Bitcoin halvings — and why this time might look different
As Iranian-Israeli tensions persist, geopolitical tensions may still be weighing on crypto markets. On Thursday night, Israel carried out a retaliatory attack against Iran. Bitcoin crashed to below $60,000 following reports of the strike. It pared some losses Friday, trading in the mid-$60,000 range for most of the day.
Hashdex Chief Investment Officer Samir Kerbage told Blockworks via email that the firm believes, despite how the halving “plays out,” that “the investment case for bitcoin remains as strong as ever as institutional interest accelerates amidst a favorable macro environment and positive on-chain developments.”