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Bitcoin Price Slips as Halving Nears: Analysts See Cyclical Pattern

source-logo  beincrypto.com 16 April 2024 07:38, UTC

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a notable decline today, following a promising rally the day before. As of the time of writing, it’s trading at $63,118, marking a 3.9% decrease within the last 24 hours.

This sudden decrease has taken many investors and traders by surprise. The crypto market is closely monitoring the situation’s development.

Is Bitcoin’s Recent Dip a Pre-Halving Jitter?

The volatility resulted in significant trader liquidations. Over the last day alone, market volatility has led to the liquidation of positions held by more than 96,000 traders, totaling a substantial $276.17 million.

This total includes $202.35 million from long positions and $73.82 million from short positions, according to CoinGlass data.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Total Crypto Market Liquidations. Source: CoinGlass

Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has decreased, shifting from a ‘Greed’ level of 74 down to 65.

This recent fluctuation aligns with a broader market correction following geopolitically fueled dips last weekend. However, news of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approval in Hong Kong boosted the market, briefly propelling Bitcoin back above $66,000.

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s current volatility coincides with the upcoming halving event anticipated on April 20, 2024. The halving will reduce the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks by half, an event with historical implications for the cryptocurrency’s price action.

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital observes a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s behavior leading to halvings. Dubbed the “Pre-Halving Retrace,” this pattern suggests a temporary pullback before potential price surges. Rekt Capital emphasizes that this cyclical behavior is consistent across previous Bitcoin cycles.

“[Pre-Halving Retrace] has been the case across all Bitcoin cycles. This time is no different,” Rekt Capital wrote on his X (formerly Twitter).

Bitcoin Price Performance in Each Halving Cycle. Source: X/RektCapital

Furthermore, Rekt Capital notes that despite immediate price fluctuations, BTC remains above its Re-Accumulation Range during the halving week.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving Countdown

This observation echoes a recent BeInCrypto analysis, highlighting Bitcoin’s repeated testing of price barriers at $71,800 and $63,700. While breaking these levels presents a challenge, the Hong Kong ETF news and the impending halving could catalyze a new all-time high.

The complexity and volatility of the crypto market make it inherently unpredictable, with frequent price fluctuations. Bitcoin’s failure to hold the $63,700 support level could invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to subsequent price declines.