coinedition.com
14 h
Solana price prediction for November stays bearish below $98.04, the 200-day average $SOL needs to reclaim after October’s 19.2% drop.
$SOL tested $91 support today, dipping to $91.14 before recovering to $91.62, down 0.26% on the day. That leaves $SOL just above the lower Bollinger Band at $91.39.
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$SOL has fallen roughly 27% from its late-September high near $125. A sharp late-October selloff pushed the price below its major moving averages and into the low $90s. Since then, small daily candles near the lower band suggest buyers have yet to mount a sustained rebound.
A daily close above the 200-day EMA at $98.04 would mark the first sign of recovery. The next hurdle sits near $100, where the 100-day EMA ($99.66), 20-day EMA ($100.09) and Bollinger midline ($100.71) converge. The 50-day EMA at $103.12 marks the next resistance level.
For the first half of November, an $88 to $98 trading range looks more likely than a breakout above $100. A daily close below $90 would expose the range floor at $88. If that support gives way, $80 comes into view.
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| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $98.04 | 200-day EMA |
| Resistance | $100.09 | 20-day EMA, beside the band midline at $100.71 |
| Resistance | $103.12 | 50-day EMA |
| Support | $91.39 | Lower Bollinger Band |
| Support | $90 | Round level just below today’s low |
| Support | $80 | Round level |
US spot Solana ETFs lost $143.71M in October, their first monthly outflow since June and by far the largest in the table according to SoSoValue. It ended three straight months of inflows that took in $479.77M between July and September.
Total net assets fell to $1.40B from $1.91B, a drop of about 27%. Most of that came from price, since $SOL fell 19.2% while the outflow was about 7.5% of end-September assets.
Hackers behind the $6.3 billion Binance theft began swapping stolen $SOL for Bitcoin through Relay, Lookonchain reported Sunday. The attackers moved 486,970 $SOL worth about $46.4 million. How much they converted remains unclear.
Chainalysis said the attackers had emptied most of their temporary Tron wallets as laundering activity spread to Solana. Tether and Circle froze about $3 billion in stolen assets. Blockchain investigator SomaXBT estimated the attackers still controlled roughly $3.5 billion across assets.
For scale, the $46.4 million transfer equaled roughly one-third of October’s net Solana ETF outflows. It also represented less than 4% of the funds’ $1.36 billion in assets. For $SOL’s November outlook, the pace of further swaps matters more than the initial transfer. Repeated conversions could add selling pressure, particularly if buyers struggle to hold $91.
$SOL fell 19.2% in October, its second straight October loss. Only October 2020 was worse, with a 46.7% decline.
| CryptoRank history | $SOL’s performance |
| October since 2020 | $SOL gained in 3 of 7 Octobers. |
| November since 2020 | $SOL gained in 4 of 6 Novembers, with a median return of +3.11%. |
| November after an October loss | $SOL rebounded 27.5% in 2020, then fell 56.6% in 2022 and 28.3% in 2025. |
The 2022 decline was the only U.S. midterm November in the sample, giving traders little basis for an election-year comparison.
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What it means for price: A gain matching November’s median would lift $SOL from $91.62 to about $94.47. Reclaiming the 200-day EMA at $98.04 would require a roughly 7% rally, more than twice the historical median.
The base case has $SOL ranging between $85 and $101, testing the lower band once more and meeting resistance at the $98 to $101 cluster on its first bounce.
| Period | Expected range | Key levels | What decides it |
| Nov 3 to 9 | $88 to $98 | $91.39 support, $98.04 resistance | Whether the lower band holds |
| Nov 10 to 16 | $85 to $100 | $90 support, $100.09 resistance | A first bounce into the average cluster |
| Nov 17 to 23 | $82 to $101 | $90 support, $100.71 resistance | Whether ETF flows turn positive |
| Nov 24 to 30 | $80 to $104 | $80 support, $103.12 resistance | Direction into month-end |
$SOL holds $91.39, closes above the 200-day EMA at $98.04 and clears the 100-day at $99.66 and the 20-day at $100.09. That would open the 50-day EMA at $103.12, with the upper Bollinger Band at $110.03 beyond it. ETF flows turning positive in November would fit this path.
$SOL closes below the lower band at $91.39 and the $90 round level, which would put $80 in play. A close below that would expose the August low near $71. Fresh ETF outflows and more stolen-$SOL sales would fit this path.
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$SOL stays bearish below $98.04 and could move toward $103 if it closes above the 200-day, 100-day and 20-day EMAs. A daily close below $90 would put $80 in play.
November has been mildly positive, with a median return of +3.11% and gains in 4 of 6 completed years, according to CryptoRank data. The two losses were deep, at -56.6% in 2022 and -28.3% in 2025, and the data starts only in 2020.
US spot Solana ETFs lost $143.71M in October, ending three straight months of inflows, according to SoSoValue. Cumulative net inflows stand at $1.47B.
Lookonchain reported that the hackers moved 486,970 $SOL, worth about $46.4 million, and began swapping it for Bitcoin through Relay. Chainalysis says the laundering has spread to Solana. The amount is small next to $SOL’s market, but investigators say billions of stolen assets remain unrecovered.
