-
Bitcoin: $76,428, down 5.5% in 24 hours and 6.3% over 7 days
-
Ethereum: $2,228, down 4.6% in 24 hours and 7.3% over 7 days
-
BNB: $696, down 6.4% in 24 hours and 6.3% over 7 days
-
XRP: $1.24, down 4.0% in 24 hours and 5.3% over 7 days
Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume has jumped to about $194 billion, a sign of heavy selling.
Reason 1: The $6.3 Billion Binance Hack
The Binance exploit is now the largest crypto hack ever in dollar terms. Bitcoin fell from about $78,700, when the first major reports appeared, to a low near $76,368 overnight. The drop pushed Bitcoin below the $80,000 support it had been defending.
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao argued the damage is smaller than the headline figure suggests. Mt. Gox lost 650,000 BTC, more than 5% of Bitcoin’s supply at the time, and nearly all its users were affected. FTX also hit almost every customer. In Binance’s case, CZ said, the exchange is covering all losses itself.
Reason 2: Wall Street’s Worst Day Since June
US stocks lost about $1.5 trillion in value in a single session, and the major indexes were heading for their worst day since June:
-
S&P 500: down 1.89%
-
Nasdaq: down 3.14%
-
Semiconductor index: down 3.74%
-
Small caps: down 2.10%
Bitcoin often moves with tech stocks, so the fall in the Nasdaq and chip stocks added to the pressure.
Reason 3: Key Support Gave Way
Expert Michaël van de Poppe said Bitcoin was rejected at $81,000, slid quickly toward $76,000 to close a price gap, and then failed again at $78,000. The levels he is watching:
-
Support: a sweep of the recent low, with the September low at $75,000 as the final floor
-
Recovery: Bitcoin needs to win back $79,000, and ideally $80,000, to regain momentum
Is This A Normal Pullback?
On-chain data from Glassnode suggests the drop may not be as damaging as it looks:
- Bitcoin is retesting its True Market Mean
- It could fall as far as $75,800, the average cost basis of short-term holders, and the uptrend would still hold
- The last similar retest, in mid-September, came just days before the high of that move
History Says Hack Crashes Can Be Short-Lived
Some invetsors compared the market reaction with past exchange disasters:
-
Bitfinex hack, 2016: Bitcoin fell 9.7% that day, then rose 395% over the next year
-
FTX collapse, 2022: Bitcoin fell 10.0% that day, then rose 119% over the next year
-
Binance hack, 2026: Bitcoin fell about 4.3% on the day
The Binance hack is far larger than either of those events, yet the drop has been about half as deep.
What Comes Next?
Bitcoin can either set a higher low or fall back toward its $58,000 cycle low. For now, the levels to watch are $75,000 to $75,800 below and $80,000 above.