XRP Price Prediction: Can $1.25 Hold as XRP Sits Inside a 10-Week Range?

$XRP price prediction for October 25 stays bearish below its $1.28 CRT low, the level $XRP needs to reclaim after dropping under it today.

$XRP Price Analysis: Can $XRP Reclaim Its $1.28 CRT Low Before the Daily Close?

$XRP is below its CRT low for now, trading about 0.5% under $1.28 and down 1.18% today, and only a close back above that level cancels the breakdown. CRT, or candle range theory, marks one candle’s high and low and watches for a sweep of one side followed by a move to the other. The range comes from the October 20 candle, between $1.34 and $1.28. $XRP swept above the high on October 21 and closed back inside the range on October 22. Yesterday’s candle closed near $1.29, just above the low, and today’s drop through it is the move to the other side.

Price is also under all four daily EMAs, from the 100-day at $1.33 up to the 20-day at $1.35 and the 50-day and 200-day, both near $1.37. RSI at 37.12 is below its average of 39.43 and the neutral 50 mark, so momentum is still falling.

$XRP looks more likely to close today below the CRT low and test $1.26 on Sunday, and a close back above $1.28 would put the 100-day EMA at $1.33 in play.

$XRP Support and Resistance Levels, October 24, 2026

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ChartNerd Says a 10-Week Compression Range Explains Why $XRP Isn’t Rising on Good News

Trader ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) said $XRP has spent about the last 10 weeks between a $1.50 to $1.60 resistance ceiling and a $1.25 to $1.30 support floor. Over the last two months, he said, price has also been boxed between the weekly 20 and 50 EMAs in a parallel channel, which he called normal compression after a 70% rally.

In his view, that structure, not the flow of positive news, is why price hasn’t followed developments. He is watching for a clean break of the ceiling to confirm continuation higher or a loss of the floor to confirm continuation lower, and stressed that confirmation matters. $XRP now trades inside that floor zone, about 2% above its $1.25 base.

$XRP ETFs Return to Inflows After a One-Week Break in a 13-Week Streak

US spot $XRP ETFs took in $4.25M for the week ending October 23, according to SoSoValue. That follows a $1.84M outflow the week before, which ended 13 straight weeks of inflows. Friday itself recorded no flows, so the week’s gain came earlier. The inflow is well below the streak’s pace, which averaged about $24.80M a week.

$XRP Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for October 25

Bullish Case, Target: $1.34

$XRP closes today back above the $1.28 CRT low and holds it into Sunday, which would cancel the breakdown and put the 100-day EMA at $1.33 in play. A move through it would open the $1.34 CRT high, with the 20-day EMA at $1.35 just above. Continued ETF inflows would fit this path.

Bearish Case, Risk Level: $1.25 (Bottom of Support Floor)

$XRP closes today below $1.28 and slides toward $1.26, the October 18 low, on Sunday. A close below $1.25 would break the support floor ChartNerd is watching and put the round $1.20 level in play.

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