Aerodrome and Velodrome merger countdown lifts optimism – Is $1.30 next for AERO?

Aerodrome Finance [$AERO] extended its bullish trend several weeks after breaking out of a channel pattern.

At press time, the token had gained 17.01% to $0.942, significantly outperforming a largely flat broader market.

The rally coincided with Aero publishing conversion terms for combining Aerodrome and Velodrome, with the launch scheduled for the 21st of October 2026. The combination could expand the protocol’s addressable market and reshape its tokenomics, potentially supporting longer-term growth.

With $AERO above its latest swing high at $0.93, could improving sentiment carry it toward resistance near $1.30?

Can merger optimism sustain $AERO’s buying interest?

The proposed combination drew attention as investors assessed its potential impact on the decentralized exchange ecosystem.

Alongside that interest, Trading Volume nearly tripled to $124.93 million, reflecting heavier market activity. That increase could support further price movement, although volume alone cannot establish whether buyers will maintain control.

Meanwhile, Aerodrome’s position as Base’s leading decentralized exchange supported the bullish outlook.

According to AMBCrypto’s recent analysis, its Total Value Locked (TVL) remained above $400 million for most of October. That liquidity base gave investors another reason to watch the protocol beyond the merger announcement.

Is Aerodrome Revenue catching up with incentives?

Aerodrome’s Revenue performance offered another potential support for the bullish case. Revenue reached a yearly high of $7.92 million in September, narrowing the gap with Token Incentives.

The improvement suggested protocol activity was generating stronger Revenue relative to the incentives used to attract liquidity.

If that gap continues narrowing, activity-generated Revenue could cover a greater share of the ecosystem’s incentive costs.

For now, however, the comparison leaves open how much further Revenue must grow to match Token Incentives. The merger may widen Aerodrome’s reach. Sustaining that activity could determine whether its Revenue keeps pace.

Can $AERO hold $0.93 and reach $1.30?

$AERO’s latest surge pushed the token above its recent swing high near $0.93, supporting the short-term bullish outlook. The next major resistance stood around $1.30.

Continued merger optimism, stronger protocol Revenue, and persistent buying demand could support a move toward that level. However, losing $0.93 could weaken the breakout and leave $AERO exposed to a pullback.

Retail activity also featured prominently in the rally, according to the cited CryptoQuant chart.

That participation could leave the move vulnerable if short-term traders take profits. Any subsequent recovery would depend on buyers returning.

For bulls, defending $0.93 could provide the first evidence that the breakout has staying power.

Final Summary

• $AERO gained 17.01% to $0.942 as merger expectations and rising Trading Volume supported its breakout.
• September Revenue reached $7.92 million, while holding $0.93 could keep a potential move toward $1.30 in play.