Hedera Price Prediction: Can HBAR Break Out Again After This Week’s Rally?

Hedera price prediction stays bullish above $0.092, the 20-day EMA $HBAR needs to hold after pulling back 3% today from a sharp weekly rally tied to a new IBM partnership.

Hedera Price Analysis: Can $HBAR Hold Its Breakout?

$HBAR trades near $0.11814, down 3% today after touching a high of $0.12273, pulling back from this week’s breakout candle that spiked toward $0.13. That move carried price through the descending trendline that’s capped every rally since $HBAR’s December 2025 high near $0.155, the first real test of that multi-month resistance line.

All four EMAs sit well below current price in a bullish stack, the 20-day at $0.09219, the 50-day at $0.08314, the 100-day at $0.08041, and the 200-day at $0.08746. The Parabolic SAR at $0.09181 sits close to the 20-day EMA, giving buyers a tight support cluster to defend if this pullback continues. Holding above that zone would keep this week’s breakout intact rather than turning it into a failed test of the descending trendline.

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$HBAR Support and Resistance Levels

Hedera News: IBM Lists Hedera-Based Identity App on Its Cloud Catalog

The Hashgraph Group’s IDTrust, a self-sovereign identity system for AI agents built on Hedera, has been listed on the IBM Cloud Catalog, according to a company announcement on September 23rd. That makes IDTrust one of the first commercial Hedera-based applications directly purchasable as a SaaS product through a major cloud marketplace, putting it in front of IBM’s global enterprise client base.

The deal comes with a few added layers:

• IBM Silver Partner status, awarded to THG after meeting IBM’s technical certification standards
• A global Embedded Solution Agreement covering cloud and AI technology, letting THG integrate IBM’s tech directly into its own products
• THG co-founder Stefan Deiss framed the listing as solving a growing enterprise problem, verifying that an autonomous AI agent is authorized to act on an organization’s behalf, with every credential anchored on Hedera’s ledger for an auditable record

The listing extends a run of enterprise deals for THG over the past year, including partnerships with Merck Group on EU Digital Product Passports, PwC on carbon market infrastructure, and Teleport on cross-border e-commerce documentation in Southeast Asia. IBM has sat on the Hedera Governing Council since 2019, and the company said the listing lets enterprise clients purchase Hedera-anchored infrastructure through their existing IBM spending commitments, removing a common friction point in enterprise blockchain adoption.

Hedera News: $HBAR Surges Nearly 40% on ETF Momentum and IBM News

$HBAR surged close to 40% this week, a move trader Crypto Rover linked to building ETF momentum following the IBM partnership news.

Separately, Hedera’s official account highlighted the network’s inclusion in NVIDIA’s Open Agent Safety Platform, part of a broader push around trust and safety infrastructure for the AI economy.

Hedera News: Speculative Claims Tie $HBAR to AI Token Consumption

Widely known macro trader Dr. Shawn argued $HBAR could see massive demand from AI providers, claiming every AI prompt processed by companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google could consume roughly $0.008 worth of $HBAR, and floated ChatGPT’s prompt volume alone implying tens of millions of dollars in daily network revenue. This figure has not been independently verified or confirmed by Hedera, OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, and should be treated as one trader’s speculative projection rather than a disclosed business relationship.

Separately, analyst EGRAG Crypto compared $HBAR’s chart setup to Quant’s historical run from $120 to $250 to $360, suggesting $HBAR could follow a similar numerical progression from $0.12 to $0.25 to $0.36. EGRAG described this as pattern-matching rather than a confirmed technical case, and it should be read the same way, an analogy based on round numbers rather than a chart-derived price target.

Hedera Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for This Week

Bullish Case, Target: $0.155

$HBAR holds above $0.092 and reclaims this week’s high near $0.1227. Continued attention on the IBM partnership and ETF momentum could support a push back toward the breakout wick near $0.13, with the December 2025 high near $0.155 the next major level above that.

Bearish Case, Risk Level: $0.0875 (200-Day EMA)

$HBAR loses the $0.092 support cluster and gives back a larger share of this week’s rally. A cooling in enthusiasm around the IBM news or a broader pullback would fit that scenario, exposing the 200-day EMA at $0.0875 next.

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