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$XRP is testing a key $1.50-$1.60 weekly resistance zone, with technical scenarios pointing either to a Q4 pullback or a move toward $1.80-$2.00.
$XRP is trading around a key weekly resistance area as two technical scenarios come into focus for the coming weeks. The immediate decision zone sits between roughly $1.50 and $1.60, where $XRP is testing its 50-week exponential moving average and a horizontal resistance level.
Chart analyst ChartNerd outlined two potential paths. The first involves $XRP being rejected around the $1.50-$1.60 range, followed by a retracement during the fourth quarter. The second allows for a stronger extension toward $1.80-$2.00 before a deeper Q4 pullback.
The chart places $XRP near $1.5625, while the 50-week EMA is shown around $1.5238. That leaves $XRP only about 2.5% above the moving average, keeping the asset close to the technical level that separates the two scenarios.
$XRP Needs to Clear $1.60 for the Higher Scenario
The first scenario would remain active if $XRP fails to establish a sustained weekly move above the $1.50-$1.60 resistance zone. A rejection from this area would leave the broader corrective structure intact and could send price back toward lower support during Q4.
The chart does not assign a precise downside target to that retracement, so any lower level beyond the marked resistance area remains unconfirmed.
The second scenario requires $XRP to move beyond the current resistance band and advance toward $1.80-$2.00. From the chart’s $1.5625 reference price, a move to $1.80 would represent an increase of approximately 15.2%, while $2.00 would require a gain of about 28%.
The $2 region is significant because it corresponds with a horizontal area that previously acted as support during 2025. Under this scenario, $XRP would retest that former support zone from below before any larger pullback develops.
$XRP Is at a Weekly Decision Point
The chart shows that $XRP’s current position is directly around the declining 50-week EMA, which has moved lower since the 2025 peak. Price is also approaching the lower red resistance band near $1.60.
From a technical standpoint, the next confirmation would come from $XRP’s behavior around this zone. A weekly close above $1.60 would weaken the immediate rejection scenario and increase the relevance of the $1.80-$2.00 range.
Conversely, failure to hold above the 50-week EMA would keep the lower Q4 retracement scenario open.
For now, neither path is confirmed. $XRP remains inside the key $1.50-$1.60 decision area, making the weekly close and subsequent follow-through the main data points to watch.