Divergence between price trends and exchange flows shows that outflow data alone is not enough to shift the prevailing trend at this stage.
Technical indicators reveal persistent selling pressure
Looking at the broader technical picture, Shiba Inu is still posting lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of continued seller dominance. In this environment, even notable reductions in exchange supply have yet to reverse the weak momentum or rekindle speculative interest among traders.
Shiba Inu, featured in this analysis, is a meme coin built on the Ethereum blockchain and is well known for its passionate community. The project frequently comes into focus due to sudden waves of community-driven attention and speculative trading, often unrelated to its fundamental metrics.
On chain activity shows slight uptick
However, on chain metrics paint a more nuanced picture. Over the past 24 hours, slight increases have been noted in transaction counts, active addresses, and active senders, suggesting that network usage has not collapsed even as the price slipped further.
Rising network activity during extended declines can sometimes signal the early stages of accumulation. Still, analysts emphasize that for this scenario to gain traction, improvements must be consistent over a more sustained period.
Exchange reserves remain high
It is also notable that, despite the large outflow, exchange reserves still exceed 80 trillion $SHIB. This level points to lingering liquidity in the market, highlighting that even daily exits of several hundred billion tokens are not enough to dramatically reshape the overall supply landscape.
Against this backdrop, experts caution against reading too much into the negative 281 billion $SHIB net outflow as a standalone signal. While the data partially supports a change in supply dynamics, the persistent weak structure and price declines suggest that a decisive market bottom has yet to emerge. According to technical analysts, unless $SHIB can reclaim key resistance levels and build higher lows, exchange outflows alone are unlikely to mark the ultimate reversal point.