Could the SpaceX IPO Spark a Rally in Bitcoin and Altcoins?

As cryptocurrency markets experienced a turbulent week overshadowed by global political developments and macroeconomic data, analysis firm Santiment shared key insights that could shape market trends.

The highly anticipated initial public offering of SpaceX on NASDAQ, which began trading on the first day, was a major success, with a strong 25% increase reaching levels around $170. This success of SpaceX, known for its close ties to the crypto community, is seen by some analysts as a catalyst that could trigger a new wave of growth in speculative markets and the cryptocurrency sector. Analysts predict that some of the profits generated from SpaceX could flow into the cryptocurrency market in the future.

US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire in the Middle East reduced geopolitical risks, giving markets a much-needed respite. Following the announcement, the S&P 500 rose 1.8%, Bitcoin 2.1%, and gold 3.3%. While mixed signals from the Strait of Hormuz and Iran have maintained market volatility, the overall sentiment has turned positive for now.

Bitcoin ($BTC) has tested the $60,000 level for the third time recently, but has remained above this threshold, forming strong support. According to Santiment data, the $50,000-$59,000 range is seen as a profit-taking zone. Santiment analysts suggest that a drop below $60,000 could trigger panic selling.

A slight decrease is observed in the asset ratios of large wallets holding 10 to 10,000 $BTC. It is argued that for the market to achieve a sustained upward trend in the medium to long term, whales need to re-enter an accumulation phase.

The frequency with which the word “inflation” is discussed on cryptocurrency-related social media channels has reached its highest level since March. Better-than-expected PCE data from the US has increased concerns about the cost of living and interest rates. Next week, the first interest rate meeting under the new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, who replaced Jerome Powell, will take place. Despite pressure from Trump for rate cuts, market expectations are that Warsh will keep rates unchanged at his first meeting.

According to Santiment, an analysis of funding rates on Binance reveals that investors are heavily weighted towards short positions in Ethereum. Given that prices historically move inversely to funding rates, this situation is said to increase the likelihood of a short-term relief rally for ETH.

*This is not investment advice.