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Shiba Inu Price Prediction: Weak Momentum Persists Even as 410 Trillion Tokens Leave Circulation

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Shiba Inu ($SHIB) continues to face mounting pressure as bearish sentiment dominates the market and traders reduce their exposure to the popular meme coin. Despite years of aggressive token burns that have removed trillions of $SHIB from circulation, the asset remains trapped in a downtrend.

Technical Structure Remains Under Pressure

$SHIB currently trades near the $0.00000485 support zone after a prolonged decline from its recent highs. The token recently broke below several important Fibonacci retracement levels, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Moreover, $SHIB remains below its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages, a signal that downward momentum remains firmly intact.

Shiba Inu Price Dynamics (Source: Trading View)

The immediate resistance level sits near $0.00000526, which previously acted as support before the latest breakdown. Above that, additional hurdles appear at $0.00000555, $0.00000581, and $0.00000613. A successful recovery through those levels could improve sentiment and attract fresh buying interest.

However, downside risks remain significant. If $SHIB loses support at $0.00000485, sellers could target the psychological $0.00000450 level. Consequently, a deeper decline toward $0.00000400 may emerge if broader market conditions deteriorate.

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Additionally, the Bollinger Bands indicator shows $SHIB trading near the lower end of its range. This positioning suggests oversold conditions may be developing, although buyers have yet to demonstrate meaningful strength.

Open Interest Signals Cautious Market Participation

Derivatives activity paints a similar picture. Open interest has fallen sharply from previous cycle highs that exceeded $500 million. During those periods, traders aggressively increased leveraged positions as prices rallied.

Source: Coinglass

Today, market participation looks considerably weaker. Open interest has dropped to approximately $40.9 million, one of the lowest readings in the observed period. Moreover, the decline reflects reduced speculative appetite and the unwinding of bullish positions following recent price weakness.

While occasional spikes in activity still occur, traders largely remain on the sidelines. Hence, the market appears to be waiting for a stronger catalyst before committing significant capital to $SHIB futures and perpetual contracts.

Token Burns Continue to Support Long-Term Scarcity

Source: Shibburn

Although short-term sentiment remains weak, $SHIB’s supply reduction efforts continue to reshape its long-term fundamentals. The ecosystem has permanently removed more than 410 trillion tokens through over 20,000 burn transactions.

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Those burns account for roughly 41% of the original one quadrillion token supply. As a result, approximately 589 trillion $SHIB tokens remain in existence, while the circulating supply stands near 585.6 trillion.

Technical Outlook For Shiba Inu Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as $SHIB attempts to stabilize after an extended decline:

Upside levels: $0.00000526 serves as the first resistance barrier, followed by $0.00000555 and $0.00000581. A sustained breakout above these levels could open the door toward $0.00000613 and the major supply zone between $0.00000661 and $0.00000714.

Downside levels: Immediate support rests at $0.00000485. A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure toward $0.00000450, with $0.00000400 acting as the next major downside target.

Resistance ceiling: The $0.00000555–$0.00000581 region remains the key area bulls must reclaim to improve the medium-term outlook. This zone aligns with important Fibonacci retracement levels and moving-average resistance.

The technical structure remains bearish as $SHIB continues to trade below all major exponential moving averages. However, the Bollinger Bands indicator suggests the token is approaching oversold territory, which could support short-term relief rallies if buying interest returns.

Will Shiba Inu Go Up?

Shiba Inu’s near-term outlook depends heavily on whether buyers can defend the $0.00000485 support zone. Holding this level could encourage a recovery toward $0.00000555 and $0.00000581, where stronger resistance awaits. Additionally, declining open interest suggests traders are waiting for a clearer directional catalyst before increasing exposure.

If bullish momentum returns alongside higher derivatives activity, $SHIB could challenge $0.00000613 and eventually retest the $0.00000661–$0.00000714 supply area. However, failure to maintain support at $0.00000485 would likely strengthen bearish momentum and expose the token to $0.00000450 and potentially $0.00000400.

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For now, $SHIB remains at a critical inflection point. While ongoing token burns continue to support long-term scarcity, technical confirmation and renewed market participation will likely determine the next major move.

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