Can XRP Set New ATH in 2026? Prediction Market Weighs in

It is five months into 2026 and the question in the $XRP community is whether its price could reach a record high this year. $XRP rose to a high of $3.66 last July before it fell.

2026 began on a positive note with $XRP hitting a high of $2.41 in its first week. However, the rise was short-lived as $XRP declined and subsequently entered sideways trading.

As uncertainty remains in the market, prediction markets are beginning to put a number on one of the biggest questions for $XRP, which is whether it can reach an all-time high in 2026.

18.1% chance of $XRP setting a new high

According to live data from $XRP-powered prediction market, Axiom Protocol, traders are predicting an 18.1% chance that $XRP will set a new all-time high in 2026.

The figure is a cautious one, indicating that while a breakout is possible, most of the respondents do not see it by any means as a sure thing.

At a current price of $1.28, $XRP is down over 65% from its mid-July 2025 high. This implies $XRP might need to rally more than 186% to reach a new record high.

Silver lining emerges

The 18.1% odds of $XRP setting a new all-time high in 2026 come amid the backdrop of selling in the market, with crowd sentiment turning negative.

In a tweet, Santiment noted that the average $XRP trader that has been active in the past 30 days is down 47%, with many selling at the bottom. $XRP has entered an extremely undervalued zone with the 30-day MVRV falling to the lowest level since December 2020, suggesting that fear and frustration among traders have reached rare extremes.

This, however, comes with a bit of positivity: reduced selling pressure creates conditions for a rebound. Santiment noted that this kind of fear and skepticism has historically acted as a contrarian signal for $XRP's price and has preceded strong rebounds.