On the resistance side, $1.35 has flipped from support to resistance after $XRP broke back below it. Above that, analysts are watching the $1.38 area as the next meaningful ceiling. Getting back above $1.35 with conviction is the first step toward any meaningful recovery attempt.
The Bitcoin Connection
$XRP’s near-term direction is closely tied to Bitcoin’s price action, as it is with most altcoins in the current market structure. Bitcoin is showing short-term weakness after being rejected from resistance, and analysts expect $XRP to follow with similar softness over the next 24 hours or so.
The slightly more bullish read is that if Bitcoin finds support and attempts a bounce in the coming days, $XRP could follow with a recovery attempt of its own.
What Needs to Happen for a Recovery
Three things need to align for $XRP to shift from defence to offence in the near term. Bitcoin needs to stabilise and show a credible bounce from its current support levels. $XRP needs to hold $1.30 on any further selling pressure. And the $1.35 resistance needs to be reclaimed and held rather than acting as a ceiling that caps every attempted rally.
Until those three conditions are met the path of least resistance remains sideways to slightly lower with the $1.30 level doing the work of keeping the structure intact.
The weekly chart has not confirmed a bearish trend reversal. That is the honest assessment. But it also has not broken down below the major support level that has contained selling pressure for months. $XRP is in a holding pattern waiting for a macro catalyst, a Bitcoin directional break, or a CLARITY Act development to provide the next meaningful move.
For now the $1.30 to $1.35 zone is where the market is making its decision.