If history repeats itself with mathematical precision, investors may have to wait until August 2028 for the next volatility explosion.
At the moment, $XRP is trapped within a range with lower support at $1.30 and resistance at $1.50. Volatility remains at multi-month lows, prompting the question whether this calm is a sign of accumulation or market apathy.
3 catalysts that could end $XRP's 'hibernation' early
Still, three factors that were not present two years ago could interrupt the 900-day drift much earlier than 2028:
- Unlike in 2022, price is now supported by active inflows into spot $XRP ETFs. This creates a "liquidity cushion" that prevents the price from falling sharply, but also limits aggressive speculative spikes.
- The expected vote on the CLARITY bill at the end of May could become the exact trigger that was missing during previous accumulation periods.
- The Bollinger Bands squeeze on the weekly timeframe has reached critical levels. Historically, such periods of "anti-volatility" end with a powerful impulse rather than a multi-year drift.
Although the chart hints at a possible "hibernation" until 2028, the current news backdrop is far denser than it was in 2022. The key signal for an exit from the accumulation cycle would be a confident breakout and hold above $1.55 per $XRP.
Until then, the market will likely continue trading under conditions of low volatility.
u.today
