Crypto prices and U.S. stocks rallied Thursday on diminishing Middle East worries, but Circle (CRCL), Bullish (BLSH) and Coinbase (COIN) all posted sizable declines.
Circle tumbled 9.9% to $85.10 after Compass Point downgraded the stock to Sell from Neutral and cut its price target by $2 to $77. The brokerage said $USDC has held up better than in prior down cycles, but argued that supply growth is moving into lower-margin areas. It also said Circle now trades at 40 times what it called optimistic 2027 adjusted EBITDA estimates, and warned that consensus forecasts for 2026 and 2027 may have to come down as first-half 2026 gross margins contract.
The firm said more $USDC is now sitting on platforms such as Sky, Binance and Ethena, where revenue-sharing agreements reduce Circle’s economics. In bear markets, that can matter. A stablecoin may keep its supply, but the profit pool can shrink if more of that supply sits in lower-yield channels.
coindesk.com