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Dogecoin has underperformed in recent weeks and continues to trade below $0.091 on Tuesday as it started the week with mild selling, failing to break above key resistance.
At the moment, $DOGE’s price action remains largely range-bound, and underlying metrics are beginning to tilt bearish.
The bearish performance comes amid weakening social interest and negative derivatives data.
This signals fading bullish momentum, leading Dogecoin, with a neutral outlook but increasing downside risks in the near term.
What on-chain and derivatives metrics show
Dogecoin has lost its position as the eighth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap to Tron following weeks of poor performance.
At press time, $DOGE is trading at $0.09068, down by 2.5% in the last 24 hours. Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Dogecoin supports a bearish outlook.
Santiment’s Social Dominance metric measures the share of $DOGE-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media.
This metric has been in a downtrend since the end of March, trading at 0.061% on Tuesday, near March lows.
The decline suggests fading market interest and sentiment among investors. The derivatives data also paints a bearish picture.
CoinGlass’s Dogecoin long-to-short ratio is currently at 0.94 on Tuesday, nearing its lowest level over a month.
The metric staying below 1 reflects a bearish sentiment in the markets, as more traders are betting the asset’s price will fall.
Finally, Dogecoin’s funding rate also paints a bearish picture.
The funding rate flipped negative on Monday and now reads 0.0087%, indicating that shorts are paying longs and suggesting bearish sentiment toward $DOGE.
Dogecoin price forecast
The $DOGE/USD 4-hour chart is extremely bearish as Dogecoin risks dropping below $0.090 if the selloff persists.
The near-term bias remains bearish as price trades below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average around $0.096.
Dogecoin’s price also remains capped well below the declining 100-day and 200-day EMAs near $0.110 and $0.130.
Currently, the $0.94 region serves as an overhead barrier for the bulls, with momentum indicators lacking conviction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart at 49 stays below the 50 midline, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) tracks flat just above zero, hinting at a fading bullish pressure.
If the bulls regain control, they would encounter immediate resistance at the trendline near $0.094.
An extended rally would bring the $0.098 resistance into focus, where the 50-day average also converges to form a heavier cap.
A sustained break above that zone would expose the Fib retracement at $0.109 and the 100-day average, reinforcing a broader recovery.
However, if the selloff persists, the bears would likely push the price below the $0.089 initial support in the near term.
Breaking this support would expose the $0.086 region, with a daily candle close below this level would open the way toward the $0.080 region, and undermine any emerging basing pattern.