thecryptobasic.com
The $XRP price could reach new heights if $XRP maintained or increased its market dominance and the crypto market hit $7.5 trillion.
The global crypto market has had a rough year, with the total market cap (TOTAL) falling 21.88% in 2025 to land at $2.29 trillion. $XRP has felt this pain more than most assets. Last year, $XRP’s market dominance ($XRP.D) actually grew 1.48% even though $XRP’s price dropped 11% during that same stretch.
However, 2026 has gone the other way entirely. This year, $XRP’s market dominance has fallen 5.29% alongside a painful 26.7% price decline, meaning $XRP has been losing ground not just in price but in its overall share of the crypto market.
Despite this, many analysts believe the market still has a long runway ahead, with the $7.5 trillion total market cap target still on the table. If this forecast materializes, how would it impact the $XRP price if $XRP maintains its current market dominance or sees an increase?
Key Points
- Chart data shows the global crypto market cap has fallen 21.88% this year to $2.29 trillion, while $XRP has declined 26.7% in price and shed 5.29% of its market dominance.
- Bernstein analysts previously targeted a $7.5 trillion total crypto market cap for 2025.
- While this forecast failed to play out in 2025, some believe it could materialize in the future, and $XRP could benefit from it.
- Data indicates that at a 4% dominance and a $7.5 trillion global crypto market cap, $XRP’s price would rise to $4.92.
- At 8% dominance, the assessment puts $XRP’s price at $9.84, while a 12% dominance level would push it to $14.75.
- Market data further places $XRP’s price at $19.67 if its dominance climbs to 16% when the total crypto market cap hits $7.5 trillion.
Analysts Still Back the $7.5 Trillion Target
Market watcher Moon Lambo presented this assessment during a recent commentary, as the crypto market suffers an extended downturn. Despite the struggles, many well-known crypto analysts still see a bright future for the asset class overall.
Back in 2024, Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra predicted that the total crypto market cap would peak at $7.5 trillion sometime in 2025. This did not happen, as the market topped out at $4.2 trillion in 2025, about 78% short of their target.
However, some in the analyst community have not given up on the $7.5 trillion figure. They believe the target still stands, just on a longer timeline than originally expected. If the crypto market does eventually climb to that level, altcoins like $XRP could gain massively. How much $XRP gains, though, would come down to what its dominance looks like when the market gets there.
Historical Data Around $XRP Dominance
Amid these discussions, Moon Lambo recently presented an assessment of how $XRP’s price could move if the global crypto market cap reaches $7.5 trillion, looking at several different dominance scenarios.
He pointed out that for most of the past 16 months, $XRP’s market dominance has stayed between 4% and 5.5%, though it has dipped a little lower recently to 3.63%. However, he considered a round figure of 4% to keep his evaluation straightforward.
Moon Lambo also highlighted $XRP’s dominance history, noting that it peaked at around 32% in 2018. Nonetheless, this peak actually emerged in May 2017. The analyst said he does not expect that level to come back, not because anything is wrong with $XRP, but because the market looked completely different back then.
In 2017, only about 1,600 coins existed. Now, tens of thousands of coins show up on CoinMarketCap, and that naturally pulls each asset’s dominance percentage down. Conclusively, he argued that the crypto asset class is still small compared to what it will eventually become, and that this moment represents a window of opportunity for $XRP holders with a long-term view.
$XRP Price at Different Dominance Levels
Meanwhile, Moon Lambo’s chart presented figures behind each dominance scenario at the $7.5 trillion market cap level. Specifically, if $XRP maintained the 4% dominance and the global crypto market hit $7.5 trillion, $XRP’s price would climb from its current $1.35 to $4.92, a new all-time high.
If $XRP’s dominance doubled to 8% at that same $7.5 trillion market cap, the chart shows the price reaching $9.84. For perspective, the last time $XRP held 8% dominance was in April 2019.
Pushing further, at 12% dominance, the chart puts $XRP at $14.75, representing its first-ever two-digit price. $XRP last sat at 12% dominance in January 2019, when it traded at just $0.3824, and the entire crypto market was worth only $132 billion.
At the most bullish level, a 16% dominance paired with a $7.5 trillion market cap would take $XRP’s price to $19.67. To put this in context, $XRP last recorded a 22.2% dominance in June 2017, shortly after sliding down from its all-time dominance peak of 32% in May 2017.