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Historical data indicates that $XRP could be eyeing a “huge” move in the coming weeks, with a possible run to new all-time highs in March.
$XRP has been at the mercy of the bears over the past few months, having collapsed 60% from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66 to the current price around $1.44. Notably, $XRP has witnessed four consecutive monthly red candles and is on track to record a fifth one for the first time since late 2016 to early 2017.
Amid the downturn, $XRP has now dropped to retest a pivotal gray trendline within an ascending multi-channel structure on the monthly chart. Historical data indicates that each time $XRP retests this pivotal gray trendline, what follows is an explosive run. A similar surge could take prices to $5.
Key Points
- The broader market downtrend has led to a 60% decline in the $XRP price, slumping from the $3.66 peak in July 2025 to $1.44 today.
- While the persistent declines have dealt a blow to investor sentiment, market data shows they have pushed $XRP to a pivotal grey trendline within an ascending multi-channel structure.
- Historical data indicates that each time $XRP retests this trendline, an explosive run follows, and this time may not be different.
- This pattern has played out twice since 2017, resulting in the rallies to $3.31 in January 2018 and $3.4 in January 2025.
- If $XRP follows this trend, the next upsurge could emerge in March, potentially leading to a new all-time high around $5.
$XRP Retests the Gray Trendline
Market analyst Crypto Bull called attention to this ascending multi-channel structure in a recent market exposition. Data from his accompanying chart confirms that this structure has guided $XRP’s price action since the asset began trading in the open market in 2013.
For context, the channel features eight parallel ascending trendlines, with a blue trendline at the top and a gray trendline at the bottom. Between these two trendlines are six other lines with different color shades, including a red one right above the gray trendline at the bottom.
With the trendlines in a continuous ascension, the gray trendline now aligns with the $1.1 $XRP price. Interestingly, amid the drop to $1.11 on Feb. 6, which followed a rapid drop on Feb. 5, $XRP retested the gray trendline before recovering immediately.
“HUGE Move Coming”
Crypto Bull believes this development is bullish for $XRP, citing historical data. According to him, “a HUGE move is coming for $XRP.” The market analyst suggested that this huge move could come in the form of a green candle for the month of March.
Crypto Bull predicts the green candle to lead to a price of $5, which would represent a 247% increase from the current value. Meanwhile, to put things into perspective, the same $5 marks a mere 36% increase from $XRP’s $3.66 all-time high price in July 2025.
Historical Data Shows $XRP Potential
Notably, historical data confirms $XRP’s potential to soar rapidly shortly after retesting the grey trendline. For instance, as of early 2017, the trendline aligned with the $0.005 level. $XRP’s price dropped to this level in early February 2017, and a massive 284% increase followed in March 2017.
The rally persisted after this March upsurge, eventually leading to a peak of $3.31 by January 2018. Another instance occurred in Q4 2024, when $XRP retested the gray trendline after a drop to $0.5 in November 2024. Another rally emerged, leading to 283% increase that month. The rally continued until $XRP claimed $3.66 in July 2025.
However, it is important to note that past success does not guarantee future results. While $XRP has rallied in previous instances, another upsurge this time is not a 100% certainty. As a result, investors should not regard this as investment advice.