XRP Officially Enters Bear Market Versus Bitcoin (BTC), Bollinger Bands Flag -59% Scenario

$XRP just slipped below the midline of the monthly Bollinger Bands on the $XRP/$BTC chart by TradingView, an event that may mark the beginning of a bear market for $XRP versus $BTC.

With the break under 0.00002050 $BTC, the structure is now in favor of Bitcoin. The lower band sits near 0.0000081 $BTC, meaning there is the potential for a 59% decrease from current levels.

Legendary $XRP vs. Bitcoin run comes to end

$XRP just flashed the kind of technical warning that long-time cross-watchers hate seeing, and it happened on the only chart that matters when the market turns defensive: $XRP priced in Bitcoin.

On the monthly $XRP/$BTC pair, the price lost the Bollinger midband around 0.0000205 $BTC earlier today, a level that is treated as the on-off switch for the $XRP supercycle. Once that midline breaks on a higher time frame, the playbook changes fast: rallies become suspect for the altcoin, and the crypto market starts mapping the next obvious magnet, the lower band.

That lower band sits near 0.0000081 $BTC on the current setup, which is where the headline risk lives. From the mid band area, that projects a potential -59% slide on the $XRP/$BTC if the breakdown matures into a full monthly trend leg.

What makes this signal nasty is context. The chart shows $XRP already came off a strong prior expansion phase, then spent months chopping while the bands widened and the price began printing a weaker monthly structure. In that environment, losing the midband is less like one bad candle and more like $BTC is absorbing all the money again.

The real tell is the monthly close and follow-through: hold above the mid band and the bear call dies; fail it again, and the lower band becomes the market’s next map for $XRP against Bitcoin.