$SHIB Invalidates Classic Technical Signal
Shiba Inu’s recent price action underscores the unreliability of classic signals in the meme coin market. In mid-January, $SHIB printed a golden cross, as the 23-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 50-day SMA, a normally bullish signal. However, instead of rallying, $SHIB sold off sharply, shedding about 12% of its value and invalidating the bullish setup.
Can Shiba Inu Replicate The Trend?
At the moment, the market is nearing the inverse pattern on Shiba Inu’s daily chart. The 23-day moving average is rolling over and approaching a break below the 50-day SMA, forming a death cross.
Although typically bearish, this signal may act as a contrarian trigger, similar to what played out earlier in the month. If this happens, $SHIB could target the 200-day EMA near $0.00001018, implying a potential 31.45% rally from its current level around $0.000007744.
Notably, the token briefly touched the $0.00001 level on January 5 before entering a sustained retracement. While a contrarian rally under the emerging death cross remains possible, additional signals also point to potential upside.
Massive Whale Accumulation of $SHIB
Recently, whales have steadily withdrawn large amounts of $SHIB from exchanges. Moreover, fresh data from CryptoQuant indicates that $SHIB’s exchange reserves declined from 82.56 trillion on January 17 to 82.11 trillion today, meaning nearly 450 billion $SHIB exited exchanges in less than two weeks.
This ongoing reduction in exchange supply suggests easing selling pressure and strengthens the case for a potential rebound.
Meanwhile, lead developer Shytoshi Kusama’s sudden return to social media has lifted sentiment around $SHIB. Notably, once the death cross fully forms, there is no certainty that the token will again move in the opposite direction, as it did mid-month. This time, the bearish signal might play out as expected.
Ultimately, $SHIB’s direction ultimately hinges on broader market conditions.