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The XRP fractal leading to a two-digit value remains valid, as the altcoin has already met all five conditions necessary for the upsurge.
XRP has witnessed bearish pressure alongside the rest of the crypto market, but market data confirms it has not lost its long-term bullish standing. Specifically, a previous fractal that pointed to a potential run toward $27 remains valid despite the recent price struggles.
For context, this fractal emerged in Q4 2025, when XRP still traded comfortably above the $2 mark. The structure depended on five separate conditions, including a symmetrical triangle breakout and a 3-month EMA retest, which the altcoin had already met.
Key Points
- XRP has struggled since the $2.41 high earlier this month, down by more than 21% from this peak.
- Despite the downtrend, XRP has maintained a bullish fractal pointing to a potential run toward $27.
- This fractal depended on five separate conditions, including a symmetrical triangle breakout, a 3-month EMA retest, and a FIB extension replication.
- Market data confirms that XRP had already met all these conditions, setting the stage for the fractal formation.
XRP Maintains Bullish Fractal
This analysis came from Chart Nerd, a well-known market pundit. In his latest commentary, the analyst pointed out that despite XRP’s recent struggles below the important $2 area, the altcoin has maintained the bullish fractal toward $27. The reminder was necessary, especially considering the increasingly bearish retail sentiment.
Notably, after a turbulent Q4 2025, which led to a 35% decline for XRP, the asset attempted a rebound earlier this month, eventually reaching $2.41 and recovering all the losses from 2025. However, the resistance at this level triggered a pullback, and XRP has collapsed 21% since then.
Chart Nerd insists that XRP’s long-term bullish structure remains intact despite this pullback. His commentary came as an update to an October 2025 analysis, in which he identified the bullish fractal. At the time, he suggested that the forthcoming rally would “melt faces.”
Five Conditions for Fractal Formation
At the time of his initial analysis, Chart Nerd identified five conditions necessary for this fractal to play out. The first was a symmetrical triangle breakout. Notably, XRP broke above its seven-year symmetrical triangle during the November 2024 upsurge, which pushed it above the $1 and $2 regions in one fell swoop.
The second condition was the retest of the 3-month exponential moving average (EMA). For context, XRP broke above this EMA in January 2025 but needed to retest it to build strength. The retest occurred in Q4 2025, when XRP dropped to a low of $1.58 in October and then recovered.
Meanwhile, the third condition required the Gaussian Channel upper regression, which Chart Nerd confirmed had been met. He then noted that, for the fourth condition, XRP needed the formation of clear “stop, entry, and target” levels. The analyst identified these levels on the chart. The fifth condition was to replicate the Fib extension targets. This has already played out.
With XRP already meeting all five conditions, Chart Nerd suggested that the Fibonacci extension levels include $8 for the first target and $13 for the second target. The ultimate target lies at the $27 mark, a target repeatedly championed by fellow analyst EGRAG Crypto. However, there is no guarantee XRP would hit these prices.