“At the time, we were starting to rebound post-FTX, and the data was topsy-turvy; some up, some down, some sideways. In the two years that followed, crypto prices soared,” Hougan said, adding:
“That’s happening again here. In fact, the report shows a unique split, with strong growth on many fundamental statistics—and major pullbacks on price.”
Source: Bitwise
However, analysts are divided over what 2026 will bring for the crypto market. Fundstrat’s head of research Tom Lee thinks the market could struggle for most of the year before taking off in the last few months, citing tariffs and political tensions.
Meanwhile, VanEck has tipped the first quarter of 2026 to be bullish for “risk-on” assets such as crypto, with the firm pointing to a growing sense of clarity around fiscal policy and stabilization in the US.
However, Hougan said there were four trends seen in the last quarter that could be cause for optimism in the year ahead.
The first was that Ethereum and layer-2 transactions have been soaring to all-time highs. He also claimed that crypto company revenues are outpacing other sectors in the stock market.
Hougan also pointed to stablecoin transactions and assets under management soaring to new highs in Q4 amid a strong year for the fiat-pegged assets. In Q4, the total stablecoin market cap also breached new all-time high levels above $300 billion.
Finally, he said that there had been strong decentralized finance (DeFi) adoption, especially with platforms like decentralized exchange Uniswap, which he said “now reliably processes more transaction volume than Coinbase.”
“That’s the kind of divergence you get at the bottom of bear markets, when sentiment is down but fundamentals are up,” he said.
Bitwise also said progress on the CLARITY Act, a stablecoin supercycle, a new US Federal Reserve chair announcement, and three major wirehouses opening up client access to crypto exchange-traded funds could drive crypto higher in 2026.