invezz.com
Litecoin (LTC) has slipped below the $76 mark, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market.
Over the past 24 hours, LTC fell 3.68%, while Bitcoin (BTC) and other major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), posted gains.
The recent decline highlights mounting pressure from technical breakdowns and on-chain activity.
Whale activity raises uncertainty
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Santiment’s Age Consumed index shows that Litecoin whale transactions ($100k+) spiked to a five-week high of 503 on January 14.
This surge coincided with LTC falling to $75, signalling potential selling pressure.
Whale activity can indicate accumulation or distribution, and in LTC’s case, the direction remains unclear.
Historically, similar spikes in December 2025 coincided with local tops, creating psychological pressure for retail traders to exit positions.
A rebound above $78.75, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, could signal accumulation and support near-term recovery.
Litecoin ETF remain stagnant
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Institutional interest in Litecoin remains muted, with the Canary Capital Litecoin ETF (NASDAQ: LTCC) seeing negative inflows for five consecutive days.
In comparison, Solana ETFs recorded $10.67M in inflows, while XRP ETFs drew $15.04M.
This lack of institutional activity underscores a broader apathy toward LTC.
Litecoin’s 60-day return of -25% further discourages institutional investors from reallocating capital to the asset.
The ETF stagnation adds to bearish sentiment, leaving Litecoin vulnerable to continued downside pressure.
Technical breakdown fuels selling pressure
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The breach of LTC’s $77.91 pivot point triggered algorithmic selling, accelerating the decline.
The MACD histogram currently sits at -0.489, signalling bearish momentum.
Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA at $99.13 highlights long-term weakness, while the RSI of 39.23 indicates room for further downside before becoming oversold.
Traders are now closely watching the $72.76 swing low as immediate support.
Failure to defend this level could expose Litecoin to a retest of the October 2025 low at $50.
Bitcoin dominance, currently at 59.06%, continues to anchor market sentiment, limiting capital flows into altcoins like LTC.
Litecoin price forecast
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Monitoring Litecoin ETFs, technical indicators, and Bitcoin dominance is essential for evaluating market momentum, and investors and traders should consider these factors carefully to navigate both short-term volatility and medium-term recovery potential.
In addition, traders should also monitor key levels for Litecoin price action in the short and medium term.
Immediate support lies at $72.76, with a potential rebound above $78.75 signaling accumulation.
A sustained move above the $77–$80 resistance zone could open the path toward $87–$95, as highlighted by medium-term technical forecasts.
Conversely, a breakdown below $72.76 may see LTC retest $66–$68, with a more extreme scenario targeting the $50 mark.
Ultimately, on-chain metrics, including Santiment’s Age Consumed index, will be critical for anticipating whale-driven supply moves.