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Cardano ($ADA) just posted its first real green weekly candle in over two months, as displayed by TradingView. While that alone is not groundbreaking, what matters is what happened to $XRP when it was in the same position: trapped below the midline of its weekly Bollinger Bands, ignored and trading flat near the lower band.
This week, however, $XRP broke through resistance, printing a 13.8% rally that took it from the brink of market doubt to within reach of $2.43 — the exact level of its weekly midband, which is represented by the 20-week moving average.
By comparison, the Cardano token is just waking up. It is still 28% below its midband, which is near $0.60. However, structurally, the setup is almost identical: a prolonged weekly downtrend, a bounce off the lower band and a move back into the channel.
If $ADA follows $XRP's trajectory, a reversion to the midband zone could lead to an ascent to $0.5986 — a 40% surge from current levels.
What's missing for Cardano right now?
There is no guarantee that the price of $ADA will perform with the same force, but it is in a position to do so from a structural standpoint. The psychological round number of $0.50 per token is likely to trigger more interest, and reclaiming any level above $0.525 could trigger the next impulse for $ADA.
If $XRP’s move created the roadmap, then Cardano bulls have a window of opportunity that could close quickly. The next two weekly candles will determine if this becomes a rotation trade or another failed attempt to exit the lower range. The opportunity is there — execution is what is missing.